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July Fry 2021

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SouthATLwx said:
Interestingly enough, dewpoints are still in the low 70s and have yet to mix out (as of 2pm).

That probably means official highs will end up falling short of what's forecasted. But in terms of the heat index, it probably won't make a difference.
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Seeing really good mixing out of the dewpoints now. Currently 97*F and it was 97*F last hour at DFW.

Given KADS has been running a couple degrees behind DFW, maube we still have an 11th hour shot at 100*F today after all.
 
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
518 PM CDT Sat Jul 24 2021

TXZ091>095-102>107-118>123-250615-
/O.NEW.KFWD.HT.Y.0003.210725T1700Z-210726T0000Z/
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Wise-Denton-Collin-Hunt-Delta-
Hopkins-Tarrant-Dallas-Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-
Including the cities of Bowie, Nocona, Gainesville, Sherman,
Denison, Bonham, Paris, Decatur, Bridgeport, Carrollton, Denton,
Lewisville, Flower Mound, Plano, McKinney, Allen, Frisco,
Greenville, Commerce, Cooper, Sulphur Springs, Fort Worth,
Arlington, Dallas, Rockwall, Heath, Terrell, Kaufman, Forney,
Canton, Grand Saline, Wills Point, Van, Edgewood, Emory,
East Tawakoni, and Point
518 PM CDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heat index values 105 to 107 expected.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast Texas.

* WHEN...From noon to 7 PM CDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity will increase the
risk for heat-related illnesses to occur, particularly for
those working or participating in outdoor activities.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out
of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young
children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles
under any circumstances.

Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When
possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or
evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat
stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when
possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational
Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent
rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone
overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location.
Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1.

&&

$$
 
SD said:
View attachment 87095

We kind of need this to work out or we are going to start slipping back into dry conditions
Click to expand...
I hope it does, cause I like the rain. But we've been hearing hot and dry for a couple of months now. And yet we keep chipping away at the yellow stuff on the drought monitor. I like persistence for the win here. Fingers crossed.
 
Officially, the high today at DFW was an intra-hour 99*F, making it the 4th 99*F day this year.
 
Sounds like St Claire, Michigan got hit hard by a tornado. Listening to the scanner feed now.
 
Rain Cold said:
I hope it does, cause I like the rain. But we've been hearing hot and dry for a couple of months now. And yet we keep chipping away at the yellow stuff on the drought monitor. I like persistence for the win here. Fingers crossed.
Click to expand...
I agree. Obviously we’re in a pattern now that just seems to not allow extreme heat in the Carolinas of any length. We certainly could see a day or two here and there get above 95… perhaps this Thursday, but even then it won’t shock me if that backs off to the low 90 especially if we get some decent rain total early in the week. The highest temperature my location (Monroe) has has so far is 93 and both times were in May… In the 11 years I’ve lived hear, I’ve never seen a year that didn’t have at least 3 days of 98+ or at 12 days of 95+.
 
Chazwin said:
I agree. Obviously we’re in a pattern now that just seems to not allow extreme heat in the Carolinas of any length. We certainly could see a day or two here and there get above 95… perhaps this Thursday, but even then it won’t shock me if that backs off to the low 90 especially if we get some decent rain total early in the week. The highest temperature my location (Monroe) has has so far is 93 and both times were in May… In the 11 years I’ve lived hear, I’ve never seen a year that didn’t have at least 3 days of 98+ or at 12 days of 95+.
Click to expand...
Yeah for sure. I'd be really shocked if we don't get pretty hot for a little stretch, at least. But I'm encouraged that we keep seeing the core of the heat pretty far back west. I wish we could get into a pattern favoring afternoon and evening storms that continue well into the night. But we haven't really seen that yet, unfortunately.
 
Rain Cold said:
Yeah for sure. I'd be really shocked if we don't get pretty hot for a little stretch, at least. But I'm encouraged that we keep seeing the core of the heat pretty far back west. I wish we could get into a pattern favoring afternoon and evening storms that continue well into the night. But we haven't really seen that yet, unfortunately.
Click to expand...
Yeah and every time the ridge does make a push to the east, like what we see coming later in the week, you can already see it start to retrograde back to the west. I’m certain some very hot days are ahead of us, but it just looks like they’ll only be a couple days at a time.
 
SouthATLwx said:
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
518 PM CDT Sat Jul 24 2021

TXZ091>095-102>107-118>123-250615-
/O.NEW.KFWD.HT.Y.0003.210725T1700Z-210726T0000Z/
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Wise-Denton-Collin-Hunt-Delta-
Hopkins-Tarrant-Dallas-Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-
Including the cities of Bowie, Nocona, Gainesville, Sherman,
Denison, Bonham, Paris, Decatur, Bridgeport, Carrollton, Denton,
Lewisville, Flower Mound, Plano, McKinney, Allen, Frisco,
Greenville, Commerce, Cooper, Sulphur Springs, Fort Worth,
Arlington, Dallas, Rockwall, Heath, Terrell, Kaufman, Forney,
Canton, Grand Saline, Wills Point, Van, Edgewood, Emory,
East Tawakoni, and Point
518 PM CDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heat index values 105 to 107 expected.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast Texas.

* WHEN...From noon to 7 PM CDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity will increase the
risk for heat-related illnesses to occur, particularly for
those working or participating in outdoor activities.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out
of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young
children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles
under any circumstances.

Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When
possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or
evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat
stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when
possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational
Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent
rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone
overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location.
Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1.

&&

$$
Click to expand...

Same up here. NWS talking about probably gonna be needed most of the next week. It's the humidity
 
Brent said:
Same up here. NWS talking about probably gonna be needed most of the next week. It's the humidity
Click to expand...

Models have definitely been a bit too aggressive with mixing out the surface dewpoints.

It is also helping to keep actual temps somewhat in check though.
 
SD said:
View attachment 87095

We kind of need this to work out or we are going to start slipping back into dry conditions
Click to expand...
Eh nothing really to worry about when u see the issues going on out west .. abnormally dry again is just not that big of a deal .. and the pattern isn’t screaming long durations of dry and hot conditions .. it screams afternoon storm chances and even severe weather potential .. we will have more Flash flood issues than heat and drought issues I suspect
 
Hmph...

000
FXUS64 KFWD 242224
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX

.LONG TERM... /Issued 307 PM CDT Sat Jul 24 2021/
/Monday Onward/

Model guidance has gradually been depicting a more compact ridge
to our northwest as we approach the middle of next week. This,
coupled with a few embedded shortwaves on the periphery of the
ridge, will likely lead to isolated showers and storms beginning
Tuesday afternoon. For Tuesday, the main area which may see some
isolated convection will be east of I-35. The immediate I-35
corridor is expected to remain precipitation free. A slightly
stronger shortwave will be moving in early Wednesday morning,
moving from northeast to southwest. This is likely to increase
rain chances on Wednesday along and south of I-20.

Increasing cloud cover due to the shortwave moving overhead
should prevent widespread triple digits on Wednesday. In fact,
Central Texas may remain in the lower to middle 90s as a few
showers and storms linger into the afternoon. Easterly flow aloft
will continue through the rest of the work week, occasionally
bringing scattered high clouds through the area. In the lower-
levels, southerly flow will continue, keeping the area fairly
moist. With highs in the mid 90s and dew points in the 60s to
lower 70s, heat index values Thursday onward will range from
around 97 to 105 degrees. By next weekend, the dome of high
pressure appears to work its way back into the Southern Plains.
The hot temperatures will continue through the weekend with rain
chances likely remaining away from North and Central Texas.
 
Was at 4300 feet today and truck themometer hit 80. Boone was like 84ish. Which is about as warm as they get on a hot hot summer day. Nothing like that 10 to 15 mph breeze out of the passing cumulus clouds up on a mtn. Best weather climate in the south inNC NW Border Counties. Never dull, or disapoints. We'd all be in hog heaven living up there year round.
 
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