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July Fry 2021

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The last 15 years must have been very hot because Raleigh is only running a degree or two below normal. June is pretty much normal in Raleigh and 2 below normal in July so far. Not exactly way below normal.
Yes , also July is over 2 below normal . Part of it is that the last 15 years have been hot but summer is also more stable . +/- 2 degrees over the whole summer is pretty big for summer at least. Not like winter where deviation is greater .
 
Hi-Res models showing some impressive highs for Dallas today, tomorrow and Monday. Will post shortly...

12z 3km NAM:

Saturday - 99*F
Sunday - 104*F
Monday - 104*F

12z WRF-ARW:

Saturday - 100*F
Sunday - 103*F

12z FV3:

Saturday - 100*F
Sunday - 102*F
Monday - 103*F
 
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Has Dallas had a 100 degree high yet?

Nope. Only three 99*F highs back on 6/13, 6/14 and 6/17.

The average total number in a season is 20, and the average 1st 100*F day is on 7/1.

EDIT: Even with the last week of July ending on a "hot" note, DFW may still end up below average for the month (departure as of yesterday was -2.2*F).
 
Interestingly enough, dewpoints are still in the low 70s and have yet to mix out (as of 2pm).

That probably means official highs will end up falling short of what's forecasted. But in terms of the heat index, it probably won't make a difference.
 
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