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July Fry 2021

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I predict “July Fry” will end up a misnomer for the SE. Mark my words. Near normal July temperatures for the SE coming with near to wetter than normal/humid dominating. Soils are too wet for any big heatwaves. The main heat will be out west and to the north. Maybe @Dewpoint Dan and good chance @Webberweather53 and that Montana poster end up with a hot month.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Feel like we get a big surge in temps this July that’s short lived, just to much out west that can transfer here
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Yeah I think we could multiple 1-2 day surges from the release of western heat, but I also could see a good NW flow storm pattern on the backside of those surges. I don’t believe we will see widespread triple digits in the southeast this year.
 
GaWx said:
I predict “July Fry” will end up a misnomer for the SE. Mark my words. Near normal July temperatures for the SE coming with near to wetter than normal/humid dominating. Soils are too wet for any big heatwaves. The main heat will be out west and to the north. Maybe @Dewpoint Dan and good chance @Webberweather53 and that Montana poster end up with a hot month.
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Agreed thank god for the thread name finally something for and by the people! This is our July 4th freedom from @SD
 
Lickwx said:
If you read about the 2007 heat wave , heat index values did exceed 120 in eastern NC. So there is that at least .
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That’s another thing that made that so odd back here to the west, Typically when CLT gets triple digits, the humidity is at least down a bit… not in August 2007. There were quite a few times when temperatures were 102-104 and the heat indexes were around 110.
 
Rain Cold said:
Nice. Got that one in just under the wire...unless that is a May shot. :)

Either way, I really like that one.
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Got lucky with a cell near Heath springs SC (storm died off now) but yeah crazy how it took till June 30th to get a shot lol
 
Chazwin said:
That’s another thing that made that so odd back here to the west, Typically when CLT gets triple digits, the humidity is at least down a bit… not in August 2007. There were quite a few times when temperatures were 102-104 and the heat indexes were around 110.
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There was a town in Washington state that recorded an 82/82 temp/dew combo. It was humid when it was at its hottest but even they managed some high humidity at times .
 
To go back to the historic heatwaves for NC and why we were talking about it potentially making a run at us here are the heatwave 500mb anomalies rolled back a few days past where NWS ILM showed roughly +7-10 days
1625142422199.png
and here is the GFS at 6 hours from this morning
1625142448402.png

Thankfully though this year we are likely not going drop a trough into the NW and push the heat east

1625142608696.png
500mb composite near or during the start of the heat
1625142762414.png

We were close to frying but all signs point to it not happening for now. Watch later in the month though as we may try to rotate through a similar evolution.
The euro does have a short heat run mainly for Va/mid Atlantic
sfct.conus (6).png
sfct.conus (5).pngsfct.conus (4).png
 
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