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Pattern Juggernaut June

0z CMC has upper 30s and low 40s for northern NC mountains at hr 102. Bring the plants in.
 
Ugh oh. NAM really trending west with 1-3” of rain this week for Boone, Hickory and Wilkesboro.
 
NAM could be wrong, for a developing cyclone it could be difficult to predict until it forms. NWS is watching a enhanced bullseye on the stable north-west quad per Blacksburg AFD. The following day shear increases quiet a bit for VA Piedmont.
 
Some 2 day rainfall totals include 19.7” in Watauga in the mountains to 16.7” in Alexander (foothills). -Brad Pan
 
A lot more people would have died if it wasn’t for the Kerr Scott Damn in Wilkes holding everything from going down stream. The pool exceeded 1970 records at 1,065ft. It will be released today as areas downstream can handle it now.
 
I'm expecting very generous rainfall (2-4") between today and tomorrow. I've already received ~3.5" of drought reducing rainfall over the last week.

Note that the big drought busting rains over much of the SE have occurred without a tropical cyclone but rather just with tropical moisture.
 
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DOT saying some of the roads that got washed out in northern Wake might take until the end of August to open back up.
 
Over 80+ swift water rescues and 4,000 NCSHP calls for help were made during the June 2019 flood. -WXII12
 
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