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Pattern Jarring January

GaWx said:
Yes, indeed, the warmth this week is, if anything, overperforming.
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I'll certainly take it. I'm interested in the extended. The safe money is on warm but there is an open window for cold to sneak in

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Just to give you an indication how long lasting this cold spell has been. Chattanooga has been below 50 degrees (the normal high for this time of year) since Dec 23. 8 total days below 40. 6 nights in the teens, 15 consecutive nights below freezing. 12 was the official lowest temp.
 
whamby said:
Just to give you an indication how long lasting this cold spell has been. Chattanooga has been below 50 degrees (the normal high for this time of year) since Dec 23. 8 total days below 40. 6 nights in the teens, 15 consecutive nights below freezing. 12 was the official lowest temp.
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Impressive considering there was no snow cover. Imagine how cold it would have been with snow cover.
 
At 2 PM, KCHS was 75 while Folly Beach, which is only 15 miles south, was only 49! That's what the historic cold longevity that ended just two days ago will do.
 
Will be interesting to see if the gfs trends towards the Euro and cmc. Given the gfs bias with a strong northern stream

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Looks like nothing brewing in TX through Tues on 18z GFS
Edit: it's trying on Tuesday , let's see what happens, looks like it will be supressed
 
Storm5 said:
Gfs isn't even close to the Euro and cmc at H5. ------ model

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That's a big improvement over the last few runs of the GFS , but looks like it brings it out way too late, as cold is sliding out
 
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