Pattern Januworry
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This said, if the trend on the Euro continues its DOA right now. Looks like the reverse of the normal trend continues to happen this year where the northern stream speeds up and the southern slows down. Not a good trend to be seeing start again.
Seems like more ensemble support for a low forming closer to the coast?
Some of the ensemble members look great
Yes, there’s definitely a good signal that there’s going to be a storm of some sort. What kind of support is there on the Euro and Canadian ensembles?
Here are the ensembles for my area for next weekend.
Give me this look at 850s and I would say boardwide hit. Just too warm 850 -> surface.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
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Gonna be lots of shifts in every direction. I wouldn’t pay attention to shifts until 100 hours out. Just need the storm signal to still be there 100 hours out.
For the next 10 days, both the Euro and GFS look supportive, pattern-wise of chilly and potentially wintry weather in the east. After that, at least on the GFS of, the pattern seems to come apart. Yesterday's 18z looked great but the 0z and 6z looked crappy. But things can change, and I haven't looked at the ensembles, the CFS, the Bleaklies, or any Strat or MJO stuff.
0z Euro D10
6z GFS D16
0z Euro D10
6z GFS D16
6z NAM actually breaks some snow out in east AL and north GA. Let’s see if it continues to cool.
We really need to get out of this cranking up in NC stuff. Need this thing to start getting cranked back in Georgia.
The NAM is still slowing down. If we can delay it until the evening we may pull this off.
Two runs in a row from NAM showing snow breaking out thru Cental-East Alabama all thru I20 into GA and then NE on Tuesday
This sort of stuff excites me, the energy is already in Canada on Tuesday, this is about as good as a signal as you can get for this range, this has some big dog potential, everything is so classic. the western ridge, TPV near Hudson Bay, the hook. Woof 
I know I said I hated the setup yesterday, but I changed my mind. My concern is that this thing doesn't dig enough and can't develop until it gets to the northeast. Otherwise, lots of cold air is available.