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Pattern Januworry

Myfrotho704_ said:
This sort of stuff excites me, the energy is already in Canada on Tuesday, this is about as good as a signal as you can get for this range, this has some big dog potential, everything is so classic. the western ridge, TPV near Hudson Bay, the hook. Woof View attachment 109630View attachment 109629
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I like your area better than mine. But the players are on the field and right now, everybody is in the game.

The signal may break in the next day or two, but it is interesting to see these, not just big dog, but historic, solutions being printed out. Obviously, they're very unlikely to verify. But the really big ones tend to show up early. Either way, the signal remains...for now.
 
Ollie Williams said:
I know I said I hated the setup yesterday, but I changed my mind. My concern is that this thing doesn't dig enough and can't develop until it gets to the northeast. Otherwise, lots of cold air is available.
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That’s my issue as well, if the TPV trends south or if our energy doesn’t tilt enough/doesn’t dig enough that’s a problem, we don’t have a -NAO and we’re totally relying on the PNA ridge to do work, the crappy NATL ridge isn’t doing much at all. But we have nailed timing the last 2 events at H5 lacking a -NAO D498F625-A595-4B09-A924-8D861B51EB36.jpeg
 
Kinda right where we want it in this time frame....

prateptype_cat_ecmwf.conus.png
 
Stephenb888 said:
For North Carolina maybe but for us in Georgia and South Carolina I would have to imagine we would want this in the Gulf of Mexico or further west right now?
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You're going to want it to start winding up somewhere over the FL Panhandle. Central/Eastern NC needs that to happen off the SE coast, assuming we're talking about the big dog.
 
ForsythSnow said:
It's a bit far, we'd probably want it 250 miles SW of its current location since if the trend at H5 locks it in that far nobody gets in the game. We referring to N GA, AL, Eastern 1/2 of NC, and SC.
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Well I live in eastern NC so 250 miles west would be a bit to much for me....if this gets you guys again I will have rain.
 
Stephenb888 said:
This just looks weird. I’m used to this look but just further east over SC where the CAD usually is.
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That's a cold core low/ULL. In that kind of situation, it's colder in the areas under the cold core low.

It's also not really in the NAM's range, so it will be interesting to see if it can score a bit of a coup.

Edit: Other models have also shown a ULL at the same time, but one of them just puts it in the GOM.
 
Rain Cold said:
I like your area better than mine. But the players are on the field and right now, everybody is in the game.

The signal may break in the next day or two, but it is interesting to see these, not just big dog, but historic, solutions being printed out. Obviously, they're very unlikely to verify. But the really big ones tend to show up early. Either way, the signal remains...for now.
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This pattern is supportive of another threat. If we can get another board wide snow out if that's icing on the cake for this winter. These big dogs worry me because they love that late NW trend.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
That's a cold core low/ULL. In that kind of situation, it's colder in the areas under the cold core low.

It's also not really in the NAM's range, so it will be interesting to see if it can score a bit of a coup.

Edit: Other models have also shown a ULL at the same time, but one of them just puts it in the GOM.
Click to expand...

Looks a lot like Feb 2020.


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