Pattern Januworry

[NCSNOW]

 

[Snowfan]

 

[SD]

 

[wxdaniel]

The possibility of sustainable below freezing temps at the mid gulf coast is unreal.

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[Myfrotho704_]

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Getting started early on the 00z GFS I see … wonderful

 

[Jessy89]

Wish the cold make it a touch earlier on next weekend stuff


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[Storm5]

Not horrible , would like a taller ridge and the trough a bit west but at this lead I'll play

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[TheBatman]

Not horrible , would like a taller ridge and the trough a bit west but at this lead I'll play

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It’s close. Definitely needs some help.

 

[brendan123]

DT says no for Thu/Fri. Still sets stage for future potential storms though.

 

[dsaur]

Wish the cold make it a touch earlier on next weekend stuff


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Goofy keeps moving that low closer and closer to Fla., and that would bring Ga into the mix.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Not horrible , would like a taller ridge and the trough a bit west but at this lead I'll play

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So what do we have here? Just looking at precip maps looks like a low forming after a frontal pass? I don’t love the angle of cold here. Doesn’t really have time to build in the Carolinas verbatim. Maybe a chance to get that northern piece to dive in a bit further west, meet our southern piece and turn negative.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I guess the price we gotta play for seeing a 2 incher is a worse pattern than previous runs in the longer range. Haha

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Not encouraging that the CMC has a Big low near the Great Lakes while the GFS (which is known for being flat) is flat

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Someone help me out here. I’m not smart. Why the dual low pressure systems? The one to our north kills any chance at a dry cold air feed.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Someone help me out here. I’m not smart. Why the dual low pressure systems? The one to our north kills any chance at a dry cold air feed. View attachment 102853

Looks like the low on top is associated with northern stream energy, so it moved thru first just quick enough to start the process of CAA and a secondary area of low pressure developed to our SE and caused a little bit of overrunning action

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GEFS barely supports the GFS

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

GEFS barely supports the GFS View attachment 102856

Should be good news if the two inched gave us a worse pattern

 

[Jessy89]

Fantasy Ice storm in long range all we get tonight


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[Shaggy]

View attachment 102843
View attachment 102849

I'd take that and its at least inside the 180hr mark so we wait for the euro to kill our hopes! These are the kind of events i expect to see around here to give us our yearly average