Pattern Januworry

[Myfrotho704_]

Lol this is a smoothed ensemble mean this far out

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Don’t think many realize how insane the GEFS run gets towards the end, I’m willing to bet the low end of the spreads get near 0

 

[Broken024]

A lot of noise towards end of GEFS

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GEFS ends off with a reload of some +PNA/-EPO, basically a loop

 

[SD]

GEFS ends off with a reload of some +PNA/-EPO, basically a loopView attachment 102821View attachment 102820

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

GEFS ends off with a reload of some +PNA/-EPO, basically a loopView attachment 102821View attachment 102820

If you aren’t excited for several possible winter storms in this set up .. I mean this is absolutely crazy

 

[SD]

Nice race between dropping temps and incoming clouds/wind/waa currently 28/18

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Spread near 0. Also the 50 degree spread, that probably hints a few ensemble members retrograding faster, but other then that, that’s a colder pattern coming up, starting Tuesday

 

[BullCityWx]

Nice race between dropping temps and incoming clouds/wind/waa currently 28/18

Yeah, I cleaned out gutters on the back of the house today and used the hose pipe to check if they were flowing.

Long story short, I now have a frozen deck.

 

[SD]

Spread near 0. Also the 50 degree spread, that probably hints a few ensemble members retrograding faster, but other then that, that’s a colder pattern coming up, starting Tuesday View attachment 102827View attachment 102828

That spread late is crazy

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That spread late is crazy

Yeah it makes me slightly cautious, nowhere near freaking out or worried but it does signal maybe some SER, looks like most of the members were cold tho

 

[SD]

Yeah it makes me slightly cautious, nowhere near freaking out or worried but it does signal maybe some SER, looks like most of the members were cold tho

Looks like some of the eps went that way too something to watch since they seem to be too fast with that process so far

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Spread near 0. Also the 50 degree spread, that probably hints a few ensemble members retrograding faster, but other then that, that’s a colder pattern coming up, starting Tuesday View attachment 102827View attachment 102828

Is that a high temperature at below 10 degrees … sheesh

 

[TheBatman]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Dayummm cuhhhh

 

[weatherfide]

HRRR has me very close to 70 tomorrow afternoon. A good 15 degrees above average. Not too happy to see that start happening in January. Had enough of it in December.

 

[WxGSO]

HRRR has me very close to 70 tomorrow afternoon. A good 15 degrees above average. Not too happy to see that start happening in January. Had enough of it in December.

Don't worry, it won't last. You do live in the south, though. There will be up and downs.

 

[BullCityWx]

Regarding that temp spread, it looks like it’s just one or two members in most cases.

 

[Metwannabe]

Nice race between dropping temps and incoming clouds/wind/waa currently 28/18

Temps almost always get colder in these situations before warming... 25.2 but seems to be leveling off

 

[SD]

Temps almost always get colder in these situations before warming... 25.2 but seems to be leveling off

Up to 35 here