• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Januworry

14 - 94F in TX this afternoon, those are surface temps, it’s been cooking and max CONUS departure today was >115F, MN and TX. It’s really just the evolution of a pattern change that gave BC historic flooding, Pac NW and CA snow, CO rapidly moving wildfires with 100+ mph winds, east, and it sets up a active pattern with multiple systems and a very cold air supply to work with in the SE over the coming weeks.
 
mrdaddyman said:
I haven't looked yet. Let me guess, no -NAO and an annoying WAR? :)
Click to expand...
No war they don't make them much colder than that 18z run for us. But the lack of a -nao and poor timing means no snow. Going to have to time things right in a +pna/+nao look and run for cover 24 hours before the event
gfs-deterministic-se-t2m_f_anom_7day-2442400.png
gfs-deterministic-se-t2m_f_anom_7day-2118400.png
 
SD said:
No war they don't make them much colder than that 18z run for us. But the lack of a -nao and poor timing means no snow. Going to have to time things right in a +pna/+nao look and run for cover 24 hours before the event
View attachment 100825
View attachment 100826
Click to expand...
Yeah, I know Matthew East once said on the other board that even if everything else is going right, here in the south you still got to have good timing. Overall I think we’ll all take our chances with the pattern the models have been trending towards the last few days
 
Chazwin said:
Yeah, I know Matthew East once said on the other board that even if everything else is going right, here in the south you still got to have good timing. Overall I think we’ll all take our chances with the pattern the models have been trending towards the last few days
Click to expand...
I'm really excited about what the models have overall. These big pac ridge cold Hudson/Davis strait vortex looks haven't been terrible in the past. I wouldn't be shocked if we tried to tack on some -nao toward the end of this pattern 1/20ish
 
Last edited:
GaWx said:
Models are hinting that there will be 3 different Arctic highs likely to come down between 1/7 and 1/20 to bring cold to the SE before any January thaw. Two of those highs are a near lock now.
Click to expand...
Hey GaWx love your insight. Wasn't January 21, 1985,, a day I will never forget in Atlanta, a La Nina year? Temps dropped from 56 to 14 in about 4 hours then down to -8 at KATL, I had -11..
 
Last edited:
SD said:
No war they don't make them much colder than that 18z run for us. But the lack of a -nao and poor timing means no snow. Going to have to time things right in a +pna/+nao look and run for cover 24 hours before the event
View attachment 100825
View attachment 100826
Click to expand...
True but glad to see the cold. Will worry about other things later. We know it definitely won't snow at 79 degrees. We may yet see a -NAO pop up.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
I didn’t realize the gefs was this good for this system, if the euro could hop on to the cho cho weenie train, then this might need a thread in a day or 2, another interesting look for the same areas we’re watching with Monday mornings system View attachment 100818View attachment 100819
Click to expand...

To me, the darker blue colors on the ensemble snow mean outlines where the threat really is. For my back yard for me to take notice of a threat, generally I'm looking for the 2 inch mean south to at least rock hill, sc. That one looks like another Virginia storm right now.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top