Storm on GFS hits a portal in the mountains then re pops up in the Tidewater. Makes sense. 
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Pattern January Joke
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
So, so close to a big dog. We ain't done with this one.
NBAcentel
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- Jan 5, 2017
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Ukie sounding for my location Sunday morning. 
We're inching back into the game.
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Tsappfrog20
Member
NBAcentel
Member
rburrel2
Member
It’s becoming clear that we’re gonna get a ridiculous and comprehensive high latitude blocking episode to end January. All the models/means have it.
Sudden Richmond jackpot on the GEFS? lock it in
SnowNiner
Member
Amazing the difference a little neutral tilt can cause on the surface. That's a perfect spot for it, can we get a little more? And can we get the Euro to do it?!
But the UK shows no precip over our area. I am close to your area.
SnowNiner
Member
That ensemble mean does give you the story of the pattern though IMO. Look at all the northern stream lake effect and NW flow snow. And a big hole on the east coast up and down the board, and nothing out west. Northern stream dominate, and at a bad angle.
That sounding shows just how close the atmosphere is to having precipitation reach the ground, and if so, it would be snow for the Atlanta area. Verbatim, watching virga overhead would be maddening while it snows to our south. In any case, it's close enough to warrant continuing to follow closely.
Well, it already happened last year. This is just our new reality.
nice. proof of concept. you have my attention.
I like your proof of concept, concept. We can talk all the pattern this and that, but the more hits that are showing up the better, even though nothing is ever guaranteed
Note that the highest heights associated with the PNA ridge have been shifting west to now off the coast of British Columbia and amplified poleward over the past day. In response, that energy that was stranded in Northern Canada a day ago today has dived south on the backside of our system #2. A few more ticks west, and the trough axis should continue to nudge west. The aforementioned backside vorticity maximum is the key feature to watch.
NBAcentel
Member
Kinda surprised the AIFS sucked, not much changed here, maybe more positive tilt ? 
rburrel2
Member
Another longe range cad hit on the euro ai. Beautiful
anyone know when the 12z MOGREPS comes out? Here is the last five runs of it for snowfall through next tuesday.
12z Euro drier from more positively tilted look, might still be a light hit for someone along the coastal plain
System 1 or System 2?