Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!

[Tarheel1]

I'd feel really good if I lived along the NV/VA border rn.

You should move to Roxboro! ?

 

[NCSNOW]

Don't take totals at face value. With diurnal heating, warm sfc, and soil temps, I would cut those totals into 1/3 or 1/2. More advisory totals.

I did, gets you 2-3. Bingo by definition

 

[eddytur]

Getting NAMed

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[NCSNOW]

Looks like a trend today is the low slowing down and really cranking as it slowly moves out. As long as the upper level dynamics are there, there’s some decent BOOM potential from the deform band.

Me and you can only go down hill from here lol. Euro jackpot under 70 hrs, nearing 1 foot. We are gonna get the "Mack Attack." Couple years ago, There was a storm jackpotting his back yard, double digits all the way to go time and he got warm nosed, hosed big time.

 

[Ollie Williams]

I did, gets you 2-3. Bingo by definition

Isn't Warning four inches and Advisory 1 inch?

 

[SimeonNC]

I posted that January 2008 storm on the whamby thread as a nostalgia piece but I'm seriously starting to feel like this event will look similar to that totals wise.

Edit: East of the mountains I mean, the mountains should see a good snow.

 

[SD]

Isn't Warning four inches and Advisory 1 inch?

3 plus

 

[NCSNOW]

My concern is we find some way to orient the band west to east instead of more north south so the majority of us just watch a 30 mile wide band get pummeled

I was thinking same thing. Youd think band would be oriented sw to ne curvature. Euro almost looked se to nw one frame above.

 

[NCSNOW]

Dont you usually see a deform band appear at a pivot point, then it follows storm ots, east, ne

 

[Ollie Williams]

3 plus

This map says it's four.

 

[SD]

This map says it's four.
View attachment 63279

WINTER STORM WARNING VTEC: WS.W WMO: WWUS42 KRAH PIL: WSWRAH

Snow accumulations 3 inches or greater in 12 hours (4 inches or more in 24 hours); Freezing rain accumulations ¼ inch (6 mm) or greater; Sleet accumulations ½ inch (13 mm)or more. Issued when there is at least a 60% forecast confidence of any one of the three criteria being met.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Getting NAMed

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Ok Jimmy is riding the NAM. Crash my column please.

 

[SD]

I was thinking same thing. Youd think band would be oriented sw to ne curvature. Euro almost looked se to nw one frame above.

Yeah I mean it should and should really put a lot of locations in the game for at least some flakes

 

[Brick Tamland]

NAM just looks weird.

 

[NCSNOW]

This map says it's four.
View attachment 63279

I was going off 3 Ollie. It could have changed , im old timer. Use to be 3 or .25 frzng rn. Not sure sleet.
Edit. Sleet half inch. Thnxs sd.
Man sleet takes .5 qpf + to get to Half inch

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

Getting NAMed

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That’s the old run 18z

 

[Metwannabe]

Thread.... I like the part about NE NC ?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

If there is any sort of coastal transfer involved, then you can’t totally discount what the NAM is showing. I’ve seen these things nearly blank parts of the Carolinas in that type of situation.

 

[Chazwin]

Isn't Warning four inches and Advisory 1 inch?

It depends on the NWS field office definitions for specific areas. For example GSP issues a WSW for Charlotte metro if 2 inches in 6 hours or a storm total of 3 or more inches is forecasted. Obviously for areas further north and west the criteria is higher

 

[WeatherNC]

This map says it's four.
View attachment 63279

Great post and thank you, I’ve seen 12-18” in the Cascades over a 24hr period under advisory. 18”+ appears to be the threshold, WA state passes are likely close to 2’.