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Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!

Last night Euro tracks low right down NC/SC state line. So it crep north, but put some right under the coldest air aloft just north of that in the 40 corridor. Also did a great job on that backside little deform band that has constantly been showing up. That band is what helps guys off to the east have a great shot. This time it was wake county down into the coastal plain.
We need to root for this thing to deepen some as its approaching the coast line, that imo would cause a quick little mini pivot movement so to speak and catch several on the backside for a couple of hours. By this time everyone will be on the north and west side, not have to woryy with waa messing up their 850's.

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at hr 84 the surface low goes from 1009 central SC coast, hr90 1006 mb @ MYB to 1004mb right at Hatteras, then cotinues deeping off to the NE afterwards

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Notice the uplsope on the eastern apps showing up on both the Nam and Can short Range Clowns at 84. Also whats hopefully not a mini downslope into the french broad area /Asheville.
 
Man I really wish the RGEM went out further it would have been such a weenie run. Even if the ratios are lower than 10:1 this would have been crazy.
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NCSNOW said:
Last night Euro tracks low right down NC/SC state line. So it crep north, but put some right under the coldest air aloft just north of that in the 40 corridor. Also did a great job on that backside little deform band that has constantly been showing up. That band is what helps guys off to the east have a great shot. This time it was wake county down into the coastal plain.
We need to root for this thing to deepen some as its approaching the coast line, that imo would cause a quick little mini pivot movement so to speak and catch several on the backside for a couple of hours. By this time everyone will be on the north and west side, not have to woryy with waa messing up their 850's.

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at hr 84 the surface low goes from 1009 central SC coast, hr90 1006 mb @ MYB to 1004mb right at Hatteras, then cotinues deeping off to the NE afterwards

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Nice little tale band comes through central NC. Nice!
 
FallsLake said:
Bad thing is soil temps will not be frozen, but they wont be warm either. And ground temps continue to cool each day leading up to the event. Forecast highs today and tomorrow (for central NC) look to be in the mid/upper 40s. Lows tonight and tomorrow night in the upper 20s to low 30s. We'll need all the help we can get to see accumulations.

Current soil temps:
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Well there's one benefit of the sun never shining haha
 
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
Idk man. I'm personally not feeling this for the upstate up to Clt metro. Remember these snow maps you're seeing are 10:1. We know that's not happening. So if you take the already small amounts of less than 2 inches its showing and cut in half you aren't left with much considering the surface will be above freezing. Plus always account for the inevitable nw jog withing 36 hrs. I think just seeing a brief changeover and seeing snow fall would be a win in this setup. I would love to be wrong but we better start seeing some colder solutions today. And to be honest the ensembles have burned me so many times that within 72 hrs like we are now the higher resolution ops should be used.
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The Upstate is more iffy but for the CLT metro this looks like one of those setups where different parts of the metro are in a whole different world from each other.
 
I’m not too worried. We all know models are going to try and over correct one way to other. Oz you saw a shift north but 6z it shifted south again
 
NCSNOW said:
Notice the uplsope on the eastern apps showing up on both the Nam and Can short Range Clowns at 84. Also whats hopefully not a mini downslope into the french broad area /Asheville.
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Asheville has the least amount of yearly precip on average in the entire state.
 
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