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Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!
- Thread starter Ollie Williams
- Start date
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- Tags
- winter
Jessy89
Member
Gfs looks warmer to me for upstate meh
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Yeah, it got colder at 850, although less amped made the totals go down. I'm now buying the less amped solution.
Edit: Warmer
Near Concord NC bullseye ?
Idk if it’ll be that less Amped tbh, but I could see something close to this, means a flatter wave but more BL temp issues
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Meh..... let's see what the ensembles have to say.lol
I'll reserve judgment until the euro, seeing the ICON and NAM solutions makes me suspect of that GFS depiction, we shall see
I don’t really buy the GFS being that less amped, but honestly something butween a very amped system and a weaker/flatter solution could be decent, just don’t want to much amplification, but don’t want to much flatness
Gfs was this close 
iGRXY
Member
Gfs opened up the wave and that’s why you got the solution we did. Not buying it
Agreed. The combo of the RGEM/NAM/Euro/EPS are hard to beat any way, and this event is likely one that will highlight all of the deficiencies in the current operational GFS.
I mean the EPS is hard to beat when it is this dang gung-ho on frozen precip. We can argue all day long about ptype, but it is clearly five alarming for some wintry weather in NC for about the past 4 or 5 runs as is the aforementioned other guidance.
Gfs opened up at 850 and 700 once you lose that definition you lose your good processes for attempting to keep things cold
---- the CMC 
It’s actually trending south 
CMC did same thing as the GFS opening up our ull, is no bueno