What the heck?! A double barrel low?? What in the heck would the show on the surface. WowUhm. What's happening here?
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What the heck?! A double barrel low?? What in the heck would the show on the surface. WowUhm. What's happening here?
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Uhm. What's happening here?
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That could just be a surface low that we don't need to even worry about. On the other hand, what in the world is going on and if that showed up, there has to be some kind of moisture in there, right?
Appears the 00z UKMET run may have ticked west.
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Miller B to Bahamas!Uhm. What's happening here?
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Yep, the main low is well offshore, but there's so much lift & diffluence underneath the parent upper level trough axis that a nice extrusion of precipitation extends well to NW all the way into the piedmont of the Carolinas on this run
What does a Birmingham trough doResembles a norlun trough in some aspects...
Well I would say that's getting pretty close to me as wellAppears the 00z UKMET run may have ticked west.
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That's very close and def further westPaging @deltadog03
It can’t get to Greenville tho per some.Well I would say that's getting pretty close to me as well
Resembles a norlun trough in some aspects...
It was explained earlier in this thread...... precip extends well to the NW of the low pressure center. More common in higher lattitudes..Norlun trough do
GEFS slightly less fwiw....
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.25 qpf to Wake Co. and .4 to my area... not too shabbyThat German joint came NW
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Das ist gut.That German joint came NW
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Don't you know I only care about the northern coastal plain lol.... jk. I really didn't expect too much to change with it, GFS seems to be the drier solution atm which is fine by me. Cautiously optimistic that the Euro is gonna keep the good trends going and maybe it will actually show what we want at the surfaceOverall about the same precipitation wise in NC, actually increased a little south of Raleigh, decreased a smidge in the northern coastal plain and tidewater and about the same for the Triangle
View attachment 2510
I am discounting the GFS and gefs for now until I see euro trend that way
If it's closes off what would happenSomething to look for on the Euro is the possibility of the lead wave closing off. That drastically changes things. Here's to a good first Euro run for 2018!
Actually, your answer is halfway right. It would be possible for areas as far as AL to see some interesting weather. I don't buy the cutoff until Euro shows it, though.Bombs over Baghdad. Move to banter
Bombs over Baghdad. Move to banter
Chris, do you use an inhouse source still, or stormvista? Stormvista seems to be the fastest, outside larry's private source from what I have seen. On weatherbell the 00z has not "initialized" yet.DR NO is on the stage. Here we goooooooo
I think he meant to move his response to banter.Asking a question isn't banter.
Thanks ShawnI think he meant to move his response to banter.
It's all good!! Here we go!
I think he meant to move his response to banter.
It's all good!! Here we go!
in houseChris, do you use an inhouse source still, or stormvista? Stormvista seems to be the fastest, outside larry's private source from what I have seen. On weatherbell the 00z has not "initialized" yet.
It’s initialized on TTChris, do you use an inhouse source still, or stormvista? Stormvista seems to be the fastest, outside larry's private source from what I have seen. On weatherbell the 00z has not "initialized" yet.
This could lead to the SFC low pressure storm end up being in the Gulf,which shifts the track way further west,which leads to massive strengthening with the SFC low hugging the coast if not go a little inland.This could lead to areas like most of Alabama, Northern Georgia,Upstate South Carolina,and maybe Western North Carolina getting snow.May also result in a major snowstorm for areas like Macon,Augusta, Columbia,Fayetteville,Greensboro,Raleigh,Rocky Mount,Virginia Beach,etcIf it's closes off what would happen
This could lead to the SFC low pressure storm end up being in the Gulf,which shifts the track way further west,which leads to massive strengthening with the SFC low hugging the coast if not go a little inland.This could lead to areas like most of Alabama, Northern Georgia,Upstate South Carolina,and maybe Western North Carolina getting snow.May also result in a major snowstorm for areas like Macon,Augusta, Columbia,Fayetteville,Greensboro,Raleigh,Rocky Mount,Virginia Beach,etc