• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

Webberweather53 said:
Virga is down to about 2000 feet in Raleigh, the flakes are about to fly shortly. Snow has already begun to accumulate anywhere between a dusting to half inch over Southern Pines and Rockingham.
Click to expand...

You mentioned some CAD trying to kick in, are you still seeing that?
 
It looks like the virga is leaving to the east, unless it builds back up as the storm strengthens I'm not sure if CLT proper is gonna see anything.
 
SimeonNC said:
It looks like the virga is leaving to the east, unless it builds back up as the storm strengthens I'm not sure if CLT proper is gonna see anything.
Click to expand...

was doubtful that we would either way, but I'm giving up on even token flakes considering the amount of virga we've had and how dry it still remains as the moisture starts to lift out. was never our storm anyway
 
Damn Brett Adair has an amazing love live feed from South Carolina. Holy s*** looks like something you would see I'm the NE
 
Webberweather53 said:
Friend in Rockingham has already reported 0.5" of snow and counting. Virga down to about 1500 feet now in Raleigh just a matter of time at this point...
Click to expand...
NWS Raleigh pretty much throwing in the towel on any accums at this point back this way. Really playing up the dry air.
 
Rain Cold said:
NWS Raleigh pretty much throwing in the towel on any accums at this point back this way. Really playing up the dry air.
Click to expand...

That's obviously not the case for our friends down the highway 1 corridor south of Sanford, accumulation already in Moore & Richmond counties where there wasn't even a winter weather advisory issued
 
Webberweather53 said:
That's obviously not the case for our friends down the highway 1 corridor south of Sanford, accumulation already in Moore & Richmond counties where there wasn't even a winter weather advisory issued
Click to expand...
Lol agreed.
 
Rain Cold said:
NWS Raleigh pretty much throwing in the towel on any accums at this point back this way. Really playing up the dry air.
Click to expand...

They're getting caught with their pants down, he told me the rates have really picked up and he took another measurement just a second ago and he's up to 1" in Rockingham.
 
Rain Cold said:
NWS Raleigh pretty much throwing in the towel on any accums at this point back this way. Really playing up the dry air.
Click to expand...
Yeah they say a dusting in the Eastern Piedmont and their words they concede that is the worst case scenario.

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
 
metwannabe said:
Yeah they say a dusting in the Eastern Piedmont and their words they concede that is the worst case scenario.

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

It makes me feel much better that I gave some of the eastern piedmont just west of RDU a dusting-3" in my initial forecast. I almost changed it and released a new map today but decided against it in seeing how poorly the RAP & HRRR were handling this & trending NW substantially and they likely haven't corrected enough yet. Starting to get a little concerned that areas near and east of Elizabeth City where there's a blizzard warning atm might have mixing issues
 
20z HRRR with another shift west
hrrr_ref_frzn_seus_5.png
 
Webberweather53 said:
This HRRR run is going to stick Raleigh into the western edge of the core of this storm now... NW shifts likely not done yet either
Click to expand...

Last shift went from Orange County to just past Alamance. Just waiting to see the actual snow start falling now.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top