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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

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Got to think Rah NWS afternoon package will update the Watch area, I'd think at least 1 tier of counties west... not much lead time to play with here

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If this keeps shifting west could Atlanta Ga be in play for a little snow?

Atlanta is not getting anything from this(outside of maybe flurries). Folks in AL and most of GA really need to just give this one up this time. If the models aren't showing you getting anything now within 24 hours of the event, you're probably not actually getting anything. The models aren't that incompetent. They're not missing something that can magically shift this a couple hundred miles.
 
Got to think Rah NWS afternoon package will update the Watch area, I'd think at least 1 tier of counties west... not much lead time to play with here

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I would think so. Every model now has Wake getting snow, right? That's where the cutoff should be at least for the Watches. West of there you could go with a special weather statement and issue an advisory if needed in the morning.
 
Winter storm watches along the coast for the rare southern snowstorm. And here is maps for the areas to be impacted.







Latest @National Weather Service
 
We are literally one baby step away from January 2000 2.0, just a very modest increase in tilting of the s/w over GA and expansion of the precip shield over FL and southern GA and it will be virtually a carbon copy...
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ERA-20C 0z January 25 2000 500 hpa vorticity, geopotential height, and wind
Jan 25 2000 0z 500 hpa.jpg

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Allan Huffman‏ @RaleighWx
Ok here you go. Again this forecast is sensitive and updates may have to be made tomorrow and the forecast could change rapidly tomorrow/tomorrow pm so stay tuned.
DSjmG9EUQAAWF61.jpg

I can live with that for now, I'm well aware Huffman knows what he's doing and me and him have had some good discussions on this latelt. At least he's not like Brad P or the other local mets and NWS who kept all the snow east of I-95 last night lmao
 
Allan Huffman‏ @RaleighWx
Ok here you go. Again this forecast is sensitive and updates may have to be made tomorrow and the forecast could change rapidly tomorrow/tomorrow pm so stay tuned.
DSjmG9EUQAAWF61.jpg
I'm one county away from the dusting to an inch on his map!!! One more shift west, it's game on!
 
For those of y'all that are westward (including me), the only key to really look for is if the waves can interact over eastern Arkansas and west Tennessee. If they do I think we're in. It sure won't be like what the NAM was depicting though, it'll be a light event.
 
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