Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

[$alt]

Really? :|

 

[BHS1975]

Yeah but that low needs to be just off the ga coast moving nne for anything significant inland . Not 300 miles offshore.


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[setxwx]

makes more sense.. never seen a low bomb off that far off coast in the winter time... my instincts say no, but numerical models say yes..

 

[$alt]

Well, the NAM is a bigger hit for some areas. and brought precipitation West. I give up!

 

[BHS1975]

If the nam pulls this off it will be the new king for sure.


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[$alt]

Through hour 45.

 

[EastAtlwx]

And just to make me look stupid, here comes the 06z NAM with more snowfall/Wintry weather in Southern GA so far. The Low basically hugging the Southern FL coast.

SMH

Dude this made me laugh lol. This going to be really interesting to see how this plays out.

 

[$alt]

Dude this made me laugh lol. This going to be really interesting to see how this plays out.

I can not, and will not buy into it versus 50 Euro ensemble members. I just looked over and noticed there was maybe one member with 2-3 inches well inland (Eastern Midlands) that the 06z NAM just spit out.

But just to make me get early gray hair, and rethink my weather hobby enthusiasm, I am sure some way the 1 member of the EPS will be verified with the NAM. :|

 

[TheBatman]

Well, the NAM is a bigger hit for some areas. and brought precipitation West. I give up!

Wow!!! Makes you wanna sit back and laugh about it. Lol. Even through I don’t have a chance of getting anything off this it has been fun to track for sure !!!!

 

[$alt]

Total:

 

[accu35]

Would be something if everything trended west today. Normally when the Nam starts the rest follow lol.

 

[TheBatman]

Total:

I think SD would be happy if that verified.

 

[$alt]

I think SD would be happy if that verified.

Ratios would be higher up that way, I would assume. 10:1 map, probably closer to 15:1.

 

[$alt]

Eh, here are the Kuchera maps that try to remove non-snow:

 

[$alt]

Well, 06z RGEM is coming in with light snows almost to GSP, just to the East.

 

[$alt]

06z RGEM (only goes to 36 hours with these maps):

 

[LovingGulfLows]

Looks like they started issuing watches all along the Southeast coastline even into Florida. Pretty astounding to see.

 

[$alt]

rgem snowfall map from 06z.

 

[$alt]

06z GFS about the same as 00z.

 

[LovingGulfLows]

Damn RGEM absolutely decimates the I95 corridor of NC at hour 48. Probably going to see 8-12+ inches along in that area by the end of the storm.