Yea it actually looks good.
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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
NYE???
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Not sure I’d say swing and miss. It’s just getting cranked up at hour 84. If explorated forward would be solid hit for TN, NC and maybe NSC.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Doesn't really look like moisture would be an issue as the energy looks separated enough to me but it's much warmer than even the warmest other guidance I think.
Warmer is great! Less supposed!!
84 hr nam. Looking decent.
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
gawxnative
Member
Well ATL got to -5 on Jan 11, 1982. The Sunday Night/Monday Morning before SnowJam 1982.. The "Supercold" ground temps lead to the issue with Snowjam as it was the first snow on frozen ground in modern era, so no "slush time" to allow commuters to get home before "it got bad". Situation was similar in 2014. Which has resulted in "impact" forecasting , which IMO is the correct way to look at things.
proud dad
Member
New Year’s Eve
pcbjr
Member
This ain't 1982, (or 1977 or 1985 or ...) and it ain't gonna be the situation the models have suggested, but ... it beats the hell out of this time period the past couple of years ... chill ... 
Ron Burgundy
Member
Remember the ‘82 sub zero event well. My father walked to the bus stop for work with his hair still damp from his shower and his hair froze!
gawxnative
Member
Wasn t trying to say this is anywhere near that, was just replying to comments hinting that the snowpack was needed for the extreme cold events.This ain't 1982, and it ain't gonna be the situation the models have suggested, but ... it beats the hell out of this time period the past couple of years ... chill ...
Ok guys let stick to the matter at hand.
How is the nam out. It had cold air sinking in with precip expanding.The NAMs out, lock the thread!
Lol
Plus hard to believe the 84 hour nam anyways.
cd2play
Member
So basically, you're saying "dam the NAM"
84 hour temp
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Nope. Nam was ok.
Here is your warning 
. We have lots of potential over the next 7 days . Guest traffic is through the roof so one liners and comments that add nothing to the conversation will be deleted . If you have an issue with your post getting deleted message one of us or complain in the banter thread . I’ve deleted several of my own posts as well so I’m not picking on anyone . Don’t push the limit , I’d hate to sideline people during the heart of winter with so much going on. I’ll be wearing my ass hat for the next week . Thanks , carry on
. We have lots of potential over the next 7 days . Guest traffic is through the roof so one liners and comments that add nothing to the conversation will be deleted . If you have an issue with your post getting deleted message one of us or complain in the banter thread . I’ve deleted several of my own posts as well so I’m not picking on anyone . Don’t push the limit , I’d hate to sideline people during the heart of winter with so much going on. I’ll be wearing my ass hat for the next week . Thanks , carry on
Showmeyourtds
Member
Here is your warning
Sorry about that boss...I might’ve had a few of them. I’m personally just jonesin for the 0z suite. Certainly a lot of potential within the next few days. Doubt we see CMC type cold, but to other’s point, it is possible even without snow cover down here.
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Looking at the 84h NAM a little closer, it shows zonal flow at h5 from TX all the way to the east coast. That energy would need to dig a little more and back the flow just a little without raising heights in the southeast. Here lately, that's been a tall order. 850's are right on the NC/SC boarder and surface temps are right around freezing. Overall, not a bad look, but it needs some help to bring us the goods.