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Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026

Some people are canceling the storm (or 75% of the QPF). Others are worried about early ZR and others are expecting precip to start blossoming imminently.

Fair to say no one really has much of a clue still at this point?!
Yea that dry slot tomorrow its killing the total
Let's see
 
So, I don't know crap compared to most of the board, but I have a question.

My understanding is that freezing rain is a self limiting process because it releases latent heat, so if we start freezing rain with all of this precip about to come through at marginal temperatures, is there a decent chance we flip back to rain?
In this instance, we have a constant resupply of sub-freezing air on the NE wind within the wedge.
 
The NAM is awful man. Basically no sleet here. All ZR. It’s entirely too dry until go time. It’s too warm. It’s got me at 24 on the 3K and I’m sitting at 20. And it keeps increasing totals.
 
ALOT of heavy moisture coming out GA that’s about to ride up 85 & escalate everything fast. BTW, the CAD is over-performing temp wise. It’s 25.3° here in Columbia. If we had more widespread moisture like others to our West & Northwest, this would be a historic storm for the Carolinas.
 
What a storm....what could have been

View attachment 188854

Ironically we're probably not gonna end up getting anymore snow here than the other two big storms I've seen here since I moved in 2021. It's a nice storm but it's not setting any records here

6-8 inches probably

The rates were never there to blow my mind
 
Freezing rain has made it all the way to Charleston and here. Winter weather advisory has been expanded to including Charleston County.
Yeah when I have upper teens without full wet-bulb, I know this is digging deep into S Carolina. This is in the mold of Feb 1979 and Jan 1988 type damming, but with less precipitation

Crazy temperature gradient with the wedge here at 925 mb

Jan 24 925.png
 
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