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Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026

ATLCT said:
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I turned it on after you said that and when they just showed it again, it doesn't show temps at freezing
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This might end up being the highlight of this entire event. I’m genuinely curious to see if this line of thunderstorms can erode the CAD enough to make it through here. I have seen thunderstorms happen here in the 30s, but not so close to the freezing mark.
 
WolfpackHomer91 said:
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Just wanted to say….. this ain’t sleet. Not a pinger has been heard in about 20 min. I just be on some transition line but this is 100% snow for last 20 min. Sleet doesn’t float like this pixie dust is, and you can brush it and it’s dry and fluffy on top not like sleet…… Dusting Mooresville NC 11PM EST …..Hwy152/Linwood Rd


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I can confirm. It's snowing here as well.
 
EV/WS said:
I love you brother. But, isn’t there an “Outside the SE Thread”? I love your posts and myself don’t mind at all. However, A life safety event is occurring across the SE. Look … I’m of the opinion “If you don’t like it just scroll past” OH.. I also understand the upstream updates. Appreciate the updates Brent. 🙏
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Keep doing you as you. You're awesome.
 
SnowmasterATL said:
I saw that. He was using the Barron 3K model. That is his house model.
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While that model might be one of the cold outliers, I would not be entirely shocked if the CAD is stubborn to erode in this region, specifically around the north side. There have been so many times that a severe weather outbreak which was forecast to move well into northern GA was blocked by the CAD/rainfall preventing warmer temps which often caused a deficit of 5-10 degrees. In this case where the forecasted high is upper 30s to 40 degrees, 5-10 degrees lower is easily flirting with freezing rain.
 
EV/WS said:
I just checked TWC live broadcast. What a joke. I mean, a historic winter event is affecting half of the US. They are airing some kind of reality show. Not the go to channel most of us grew up with. That sucks !! Oh well
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TWC used to be on in my house for days leading up to a winter event. I haven't watched them in years. Now I just hang out here with multiple tabs of radar, models, obs, etc.
 
ATLCT said:
I just saw what you were talking about and then he shows .13 ice for Atlanta with that model, so something doesn't add up
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I’m wondering if we don’t get a lot of sleet…but that also seems impossible with the setup above us


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NWS GSP new forecast out. Lowered totals for most out of nightmare scenario into still bad ice storm territory. All ZR for most
 

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vtrap90 said:
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FFC sticking to their totals as of 11:48 pm est
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As they should at this point, the writing is on the wall. We’re already at freezing (at least wet bulb temps). We’re not warming up overnight, and we’re in the bullseye for that moisture coming straight from southern Alabama. It’s here.
 
xshare said:
As they should at this point, the writing is on the wall. We’re already at freezing (at least wet bulb temps). We’re not warming up overnight, and we’re in the bullseye for that moisture coming straight from southern Alabama. It’s here.
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Ignore the audio i had ANF and FOX5 in the background. Radar image is from weatherwise
 
xshare said:
As they should at this point, the writing is on the wall. We’re already at freezing (at least wet bulb temps). We’re not warming up overnight, and we’re in the bullseye for that moisture coming straight from southern Alabama. It’s here.
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I thought the point of their post was that FFC didn't raise our totals.

I'll take about what was expected at this point
 
ATLCT said:
I thought the point of their post was that FFC didn't raise our totals.

I'll take about what was expected at this point
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Other resources and models were cutting back on precip. FFC is saying that the models are wrong and are continuing with what they forcasted.
 
here in shelby my road is already becoming very slippery and some walkways are downright impossible to walk up. this is getting bad in a hurry.
 
vtrap90 said:
Other resources and models were cutting back on precip. FFC is saying that the models are wrong and are continuing with what they forcasted.
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I think this may have been another case of the NBM (average of all models) is shown by the NWS and it is not a human forecast.
 
Getting bad out boys fast. Just getting going. Solid coating of ice on everything and now turned to moderate sleet with snow mixing in at times. 11 miles north in off 221 from the SC state line. Everything is coated with ice and everything thing is sticking to everything now and we barely have had any moisture up here. I'm going with higher end totals.
 
So, I don't know crap compared to most of the board, but I have a question.

My understanding is that freezing rain is a self limiting process because it releases latent heat, so if we start freezing rain with all of this precip about to come through at marginal temperatures, is there a decent chance we flip back to rain?
 
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