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Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026

I can’t ever remember there being such a crazy QPF fight
This is going to sound loony, but there is just such a randomness to it -- no discernable trends to grab a hold of -- models inconsistent with each other and run to run themselves. Wild swings that are difficult to explain. Very strange.
 
Sure, let's spin up a low east of JAX.
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Can't say I'd be too bothered if it did, but I wonder if this would literally cause the moisture robbery shown on the HRRR?

What it shows near the coast is interesting, but there literally is a 50 mile swath around I-20 that is completely blank overall.
 
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Nice looking WV loop with a trough over west TX , pulling up moisture out of the Pacific/Gulf, great example of warm air advection overriding an arctic airmass.


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I think this is hiting the totals and robbing that energy!
I was looking at that until I saw the direction they were moving. SW to NE… once they ride up over the CAD it’ll probably give precip extra enhancement. If these storms were moving W to E it would be different
 
So with the Triangle area already seeing ZR, are we just cooked and staring down the barrel of a major ice storm with minimal sleet? Or will heavier rates help us there? I'm not sure. We are still seeing sleet, but it's mixed with ZR more than I realized after taking a walk out there. The cars, etc. are already glazed over.
 
So with the Triangle area already seeing ZR, are we just cooked and staring down the barrel of a major ice storm with minimal sleet? Or will heavier rates help us there? I'm not sure. We are still seeing sleet, but it's mixed with ZR more than I realized after taking a walk out there. The cars, etc. are already glazed over.
Well, we knew this was coming. The sleet mix should help a bit for now but soon it will switch over completely
 
I saw this as well, being in eastern NC I always look for something in the ATL to maybe enhance or help the pecip. Not sure this will but its always fun to hope somehow the models missed something.
It's apparently enhancing some light precip later tonight across the Eastern part of the Tri- ▪County area of the Lowcountry. Unfortunate that the KCHS radar site has a failure and the needed parts won't be in until Monday.
 
So with the Triangle area already seeing ZR, are we just cooked and staring down the barrel of a major ice storm with minimal sleet? Or will heavier rates help us there? I'm not sure. We are still seeing sleet, but it's mixed with ZR more than I realized after taking a walk out there. The cars, etc. are already glazed over.
We might be in trouble
 
Well, we knew this was coming. The sleet mix should help a bit for now but soon it will switch over completely
Yeah, I was hoping we would get at least 1" of sleet before the changeover, but perhaps not, although maybe we can mix our way to that.
 
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