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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Montanasnow30
Member
Snippet from James Spann
SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY: You will be hearing lots of buzz about the weather Sunday night into Monday morning across the Deep South as the new 12Z model set today has come in colder, suggesting potential for snow over the northern third of Mississippi and Alabama. However, using ensemble model output and probabilistic outlooks, snow fans don’t need to get too excited just yet. Both the American GFS and the European ECMWF ensembles are showing only a 10-20 percent chance of one inch or more of snow with this event for now.
It is simply too early to know if there will be any significant winter weather with this system; just something to watch. A cold rain is likely for most of the state with amounts around 1/2 inch. We will have much better clarity, of course, as we get closer.
SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY: You will be hearing lots of buzz about the weather Sunday night into Monday morning across the Deep South as the new 12Z model set today has come in colder, suggesting potential for snow over the northern third of Mississippi and Alabama. However, using ensemble model output and probabilistic outlooks, snow fans don’t need to get too excited just yet. Both the American GFS and the European ECMWF ensembles are showing only a 10-20 percent chance of one inch or more of snow with this event for now.
It is simply too early to know if there will be any significant winter weather with this system; just something to watch. A cold rain is likely for most of the state with amounts around 1/2 inch. We will have much better clarity, of course, as we get closer.
ATLwxfan
Member
Stormlover
Member
He's always overly cautious. Not saying he shouldn't be, but this one has the overall setup to support it, not cold chasing rain.
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Oh wow, that’s definitely CP flow 
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Keeps getting better with each run.
It’s scary how close the 18z GFS is to putting a foot down around Montgomery.
It needs to move out of the plains in head on east to get better. I keep seeing these maps with light blues and whites over the SE with the purples and greens lin the Plains. That doesn't seem exciting.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Better than nothing and still plenty of time.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Tablesetter
At least cold air is trying to find an entry into the states. With that ridge situated where it is in Eastern Canada, there was no chance for it to drop down directly into the Eastern US. Now let’s cross our fingers and try to move it into more of an overrunning position.
Flotown
Member
Yeah he is the man....I advise listening to him grew up watching him...When he thinks its happening you will know it
GEFS waking up. Didn’t have a single member with snow at one point yesterday.
Flotown
Member
Can you post huntsville please?Maybe a stupid ques but is there one for muscle shoals are??
The first couple of times that happened, it was cute.
But even I'm getting annoyed by it now. It should be someone else's turn.
Flotown
Member
Thanks
SnowNiner
Member
Agreed. At least it's entering the conus. But it's not going to be really exciting until ridging off the east coast is gone, and we get a few Barney colors sitting over the south east.
Avalanche
Member
Barney, smh. I prefer Prince, but as long as its purple on maps, Im good!!!
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Stormlover
Member
Muscle Shoals
Can anyone post for KECG?
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Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 8,654
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- 10,791
Could you chase?
Yes.
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 8,654
- Reaction score
- 10,791
I mean, your pretty close to where you can chase and see some good snows. If you could i would
Flotown
Member
Thanks again!
Yea man I’m thinking about it snow❄ Is looking to be close. Hopefully we get a midlands special this winter it’s overdue.
NWMSGuy
Member
Anyone have the 12z snow totals from the Euro members?
SnowNiner
Member
What's all this I'm hearing about after the ssw the pv goes to Siberia. Did our unicorn fail again?
Jason Furtado twitter
50 hPa #PolarVortex following trend of modeled mid-to-upper stratospheric #PolarVortex with a displaced vortex into northern Asia. This pattern actually follows the trend of the past couple of decades for the vortex to be located more over Eurasia than North America
Jason Furtado twitter
50 hPa #PolarVortex following trend of modeled mid-to-upper stratospheric #PolarVortex with a displaced vortex into northern Asia. This pattern actually follows the trend of the past couple of decades for the vortex to be located more over Eurasia than North America
ICON was close to greatness for the SE
NWMSGuy
Member
More one than the other!? Sounds like a split, but I’ll take a witches cold tit at this rate. ??
It's not ideal but it's also not a killer.
SnowNiner
Member
Yeah I'd like to see the euro maps on that the gfs really didn't do well and the Canadian hates the stratospheric pv so it's hard to believe. Either way like you said as long as we can capitalize on the enhanced potential for high latitude blocking we are fine
BufordWX
Member
Incoming!
Gfs looks gr8
GFS is better than the 18z. Back to glory this run.
INCOMING!
Biggest cave ever 