I love warm models. They temper my snowfall expectations.
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
?
The 12z ICON is going for it
The 12z ICON is going for it
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The 12z ICON is about what I wanted to see in terms of s/w track. DWD-ICON's warm bias + a little more northern stream interaction would make that setup colder.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
NC was real close to getting pasted on this run
What is the deal with the paltry amount of precip across NC? I would think the precip shield would have been much more expansive than that.
I wonder what temps aloft are, because i’m sure this would probably be snow at 33 degrees if it’s cold enough aloft 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Not too worried about the model precip fields this far out, just need to get the synoptic setup how we want it first and then if that occurs, we’ll cross that bridge when we get there.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yea verbatim I’d say that’s probably wet snow
Geez the differences with that N/S energy in Canada 
packfan98
Moderator
HP is in a much more favorable position to funnel in the CAD on the 12z GFS at hr132 compared to 6z run.
packfan98
Moderator
HP looks great! Getting the cold air in before the storm.
Back to a more miller B/CAD look 
Going to be a bad run like 00z ICON. Low pressure is in the Ohio valley.
Disgusting 
Epic rainstorm
packfan98
Moderator
Yep, no winter weather to speak of in the SE on this run. Back to the drawing board. Hopefully the next run it will move our s/w further south. Too bad the Para doesn't seem to be running. I am curious to see what the UKMet has since we are finally getting into it's range.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yep. Vort max is way too far north over the OH Valley & lower Great Lakes. Need it to be much further south like the 12z ICON
iGRXY
Member
I am not counting my chickens before they hatch but it just seems like a Miller B/CAD setup is our most common storm type around here these last several years and I am just thinking that is where we trend. Temps are fluctuating in the mid 30's so that's pretty good this far out as CAD also trends colder and is underdone by globals. It's been so hard to get a consistent overrunning or Miller A track or get N/S energy to trend south to introduce better cold aloft so I am betting on the CAD setup for right now. That also doesn't mean ICE either. It easily could be that nasty cold rain like the 12z GFS just showed.