• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

Still a ways out but would ante in for a significant EC storm ~1/20. Inauguration Day fits the bill, circa 2009. Doubt we will have that level of cold, Apps to interior MA, A type vs B transfer, very early though.
 
Any EURO next?
prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_se.png

Yeah this lol
 
Euro looks better for that slider system compared to last run, still may not be enough
Last run 6FFB7D9C-6D7B-4C2B-97D9-622B39FABB0E.pngnew one 4A8AC274-1AA3-4D84-925C-2F6D3489D039.png
 
Here's why the models are more keen on a -NAO in the medium & extended range. Has everything to do w/ the big trough coming thru this weekend. Slower/deeper/more digging trough >> stronger cyclonic wave break over the N Atlantic >> raises the heights in the Baffin Bay >>> more -NAO.

This trend of more -NAO may continue for a while more as the models continue to try & fully resolve this big trough in 2-3 days.

 
Wow! Huge increase on the GEFS for the “southern slider” event.
View attachment 65170
View attachment 65171
View attachment 65172

If the majority of the I-20 corridor (outside of GA & SC) sees their 2nd accumulating snow in less than a week here, would be hard to argue that this isn't a great pattern or we don't have enough cold air to work w/ here as some have previously claimed. It's not that we don't have enough cold air to work w/, it is just not going to the right places at least for folks in GA & the Carolinas.
 
Back
Top