Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[Spurs up]

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yeah pants deflate ?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I'm pushing all my chips to the center of the table

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That can’t not work

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Rich get richer ? but I don’t necessarily like this look, this is a look that WAA could easily ruin if we don’t get N/S in the right spot, or the previous energy in the Atlantic

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

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[Myfrotho704_]

this is a look that, models will not handle well

 

[Arcc]

So a massive ULL gets stuck under the ridge on the Euro... Interesting.

 

[weatherfide]

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I've lived through an evolution like this several times. It's still way too early to hammer out the details, though. I remember seeing reports of heavy snow in Montgomery and getting nothing but a few sleet pellets mixed with an incredibly cold rain. Mississippi is not too far to chase, though...hhhhhm.

 

[Ron Burgundy]

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Lol @ the cutoff line almost perfectly following the Fulton County contour. I know it’s just a model quirk but if you live in ATL you can relate! ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Ollie Williams]

The Euro says south Texas gets two snows. That would kill @Brent

 

[J.C.]

Lol @ the cutoff line almost perfectly following the Fulton County contour. I know it’s just a model quirk but if you live in ATL you can relate! ?View attachment 62555

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

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Looks similar to CMC late in the run. Low pinched off to the south in Mexico under all that high pressure?

 

[ATLwxfan]

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People have downplayed this but this bit of geography matters when we thread the needle.


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[Myfrotho704_]

We’re only getting started, I could see this getting better imo

 

[Webberweather53]

Omg look at that cold press coming in from MO & KS

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Omg look at that cold press coming in from MO & KS

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If we could fix it up a little bit at H5, look out

 

[SouthGarnerSleet]

Yep by then we will know if these trends we are currently seeing on the models are a mirage or not. Even still we literally have to do everything perfectly in this setup and send up a hope/prayer to get legit accumulating snow out of this. It’s very frustrating imo because if we had even semi legit arctic air mass in the prior period or some snow to our north we’d be sitting damn good rn and be looking at a really big event with a look like this. We are lucky this is occurring near our peak climo temp wise because it would have basically no chance otherwise.

“Chances” are stacked against us all the time - . Why so against this setup?

Omg look at that cold press coming in from MO & KS

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Understood and agree.... I love the outlook next week and through later this month. Why no focus or love on the potential this weekend?

 

[Storm5]

Next four weeks could be wild


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[Webberweather53]

“Chances” are stacked against us all the time - . Why so against this setup?


Understood and agree.... I love the outlook next week and through later this month. Why no focus or love on the potential this weekend?

Why not? Because they're much bigger fish to catch & fry in this pond.

 

[J.C.]

People have downplayed this but this bit of geography matters when we thread the needle.


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I don't have a lot of interest in the depth of the models as much as others, which is why I don't post very much, but when it comes to statistics, elevations, climate, I've observed and studied it. I've seen it make a difference many times with close calls. December 2017 was a great example.