I for one am happy with that. Cataloochee has close to a 70" base with this current setup, and that is more important than me getting significant snow.
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
I for one am happy with that. Cataloochee has close to a 70" base with this current setup, and that is more important than me getting significant snow.
Kinda like COVID reports!
15 out of 10 tested positive yesterday.
Like I said last night about 0z GFS I don’t buy the torch runs yet!
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Euro has never really looked bad for us... definitely worse the past couple days but still colder than GFS and GEFS ... I would gladly take the EURO and the EPS camp way more than I would the GFS GEFS
Its been stated on here by many that a -EPO and - NAO is extremely difficult to get simultaneously. And historically-NAO winters are usually decent around here, so obviously you don't need the EPO. But you do need the +PNA. But what does the N Pacific ridge that seems to find a home there every winter say about that? Its definitely going to cause a trough downstream. Can the NAO bully everything to retrograde west and raise heights out west and shove the trough out into the Pac? I've heard the NAO carries more weight into Jan and Feb so I guess time will tell.
What a spread at the end of the EPS again. It sucks this weekends 60s/70s will end up as highs struggling to get out of the 30s.
This is hilarious, and yeah this weekend isn’t looking warm, Looks depressing lol, that was a timeframe models had highs approaching 60-70 at one point 
I mean you are looking at almost 50 degrees on some of the spreads, wild.
Can we see the individual EPS members if anyone has?
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
Hi
Way more ridging out west so far and it’s what has made the difference between warmth and a close gang buster storm ... I smell something going on here .. bad trends don’t last forever ??
Euro clearly seeing something coming up .. we might be getting bamboozled again
ajr
Member
The SER is trending into a +PNA? ?
I have a feeling we are going to be talking about this bad boy block in the pacific a lot more in the coming days .. getting mightily close to Alaska here on the latest GFS .. impressive
But you also
have to worry about that death black hole by the west coast ... we want that further away
Uh oh GFS wants to do it again ..
These low pressure diving down like they are ... god bless the -NAO I don’t know what else would be causing them to do this
It’s like a clipper trying to wrap around a wedge
Important to point out the second storm the Gfs is throwing out right now (I don’t know whether it becomes one or not it hasn’t loaded in fully) but the time frame is the same as where the euro ( 12z EPS ) has some good members in the photo I posted above
The trend across AK on the gfs is our friend
KABOOOOOOOMMMMM
I think the models are still trying to figure the effects of the SSW so I'm expecting more back and forth in the coming days.
This pattern really feels like this
It's a fine line between complete torch and a legitimate snowfall in some of the setups the models are throwing out post D5. It's nice to see the teeter totter go back more toward cold today
It's a fine line between complete torch and a legitimate snowfall in some of the setups the models are throwing out post D5. It's nice to see the teeter totter go back more toward cold today
LickWx
Member
I’d say for North Carolina , rest of the south looks pretty warm outside of NC and parts of SC.
ATLwxfan
Member
EPO territory is going to be a battle. That’s what needs watched bc it will make or break us going forward into February.
Is it me or has central/western ridges been basically what the southeast ridge use to be ? Lol 
We’re toe’ing a fine line between Arctic intrusion and fiery furnace.
Pretty awesome that trend is favorable for us
This time the odds are slightly better with the blocking on top, if we didn’t have that, I’d be very concerned
Just snow. Please. Snow
Indeed. It's a real cheek clincher, I hate it already
it would really help if we had shorter wavelengths In this sort of pattern like we had March 2018
Get it pos tilted in the pacific enough and get a rex block in the pacific, move that ridge in the C US west, and there you go, a lot to ask for !!!
If we can retrograde the pac enough and get the mean ridge across the US in the SW that would pay out for us.
If we can get that Aleutian ridge to keep stretching poleward it might mitigate some of our issues. Even still, it’s not great. But as Joey B would say “it’s the only weather you’ve got!”