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Deleted member 1449
Guest
Someone just got lolipopped NAMed
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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska
- Thread starter KyloG
- Start date
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
*Raises hand* ?
That does not look like tonight's 0z run, its bone dry.... last night's maybe?
Nam totals
No dats it..mountain mauler
Yep sure is, I thought he was referencing the Wednesday night system that ain't happening lol. My goof
Ha! Look at those 5" totals just to my NE, yeah NAM sure...
All good. I’m pretending like I’m a mountain poster this week since I’m headed above 4K for the weekend...I’m being a ?
FWIW the ICON has more moisture for Wednesday night system, too bad BL is warm and rates are light
Go to beech or roan that's the only way I see you salvaging your trip grandfathers 20 bucks I'd go to carvers gap/roan it's higher along the line so you'll get NW flow too great trail open balds with spectacular views.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Excellent 12Z NAM run for the foothills and mountains.
How serious do we take the NAM when global guidance is saying rain? I just don’t model watch much for the mountains so I’m not sure what to think
Never take the NAM serious near the end of its range. I only use it 1 to 2 days out.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Although the globals show rain, a lot of times the NAM is good at picking up on small details such as a meso high. Not saying it’s right this time, but it does tend to do well in this timeframe with details such as just mentioned.
snowlover91
Member
NAM is best inside 60 hours, the 3km usually is better than the 12km most of the time for situations like this.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
You know winter sucks when you get soundings like this
Cad Wedge NC
Member
The 0z GFS has the closest sounding yet for MBY. This one's going to be close...
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Interestingly enough, the moisture shield seems to be much west of what the models predicted.