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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska

would be fitting to see precip improve as we see our 2m temps trend in the wrong direction.
 
Brad P. has issued a code 1 social media talk for Charlotte metro snow system Thursday. Says some flakes poss.
RAH has also mentioned the possibility:
Weather Highlights/Hazards: Considerable mid-high clouds Wed will
thicken and lower Wed night-early Thu, with the approach of the nrn
stream
shortwave trough now over the nrn Rockies. Virga will also
become widespread over cntl
NC through the same time; and some of
that precipitation will
likely overcome an otherwise dry sub-cloud
layer and reach the ground over mainly
srn NC by Thu morning.
Thermal profiles and partial thickness values support primarily
(light) rain, particularly where precipitation is most
likely to
reach the ground across
srn NC. However, freezing levels across the
remainder of the Piedmont are forecast to be around 1000
ft AGL, so
it would be possible for a few flurries to mix with the light rain
or sprinkles should they fall with enough intensity and reach ground
and consequently, diabatically cool the shallow above freezing layer
above the surface there. This would be a no accumulation/impact non-
event should that even occur.

 
Without seeing the soundings, that looks like a wet snow look to me N of US-64.
 
Without seeing the soundings, that looks like a wet snow look to me N of US-64.

Would need rates to be decent I imagine.....which given the QPF is unlikely.....probably sprinkles with a maybe a few flakes mixing in in the heaviest showers.....still plenty of time for this to trend better.
 
Nothing... What a surprise!

LOL yeah this is gonna be one of those expect the worse hope for the best, looks like any real chance though will be western NC and the foothills....one would think eventually at some point we got to get one of these systems that over performs....it has not snowed here since Dec 9th 2018, one of the longer snow droughts in recent memory for sure....
 
That's the 0z run. Here's the 12z:
ref1km_ptype.conus.png
 
FWIW the 3km has much more moisture
Screenshot 2020-01-28 at 10.11.56 AM.png


ICON had more moisture as well temps still too warm
 
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