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Logan Is An Idiot 01
Guest
We can work with this. Honestly it's the best it's looked. I like the trends so far today
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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska
- Thread starter KyloG
- Start date
Just look at the changes in the gfs from 00z last night. Trends even from 12z are night and day. Still plenty of time to trend better too.
More drastic changes for the late week system as well.
850’s are solid even down into upstate SC but that’s not even half the battle. I don’t like this one. It’s a pity because these weak waves provide us an opportunity for an all snow event..but I just don’t think we’ve got all the pieces here. It reminds me of a January 2011 track but with insufficient cold. It’s a shame
sounding isn’t bad if we can get some heavier rates overhead.
What a mess @500
I’m not sure what the GFS is trying to do with next weekend’s system. It’s an absolute mess this run..and only 5 days away ??
Gfs might go bonkers. Lmao.
If only it had enough time to go negative right there..oh well, I can confidently say that Vort progression will not occur that way again lol
Edit. Never mind. Lol wth was that?
CMC trends
I think getting heavier rates is ultimately going to be the deciding factor. This reminds me a bit of March 2017. I remember then seeing temperatures in the lower 50s the day before and not believing there was anyway the models I was looking at were correct that we’re giving me 1-3 inches. That system came in late at night/very early morning and what started as a 39 degree drizzle changed very quickly to a 32-33 heavy wet snow that put down close to 3 inches in MBY. It can only be good that models are right now trying to bring this in at the coldest time of the day
Overall didn’t like what I saw with 0z. Time is ticking and cmc went from light snow accumulations to none for Thursday here. Maybe it will come back north. Need king euro to save us or I’m ready to throw in the towel for Thursday system.
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Logan Is An Idiot 01
Guest
Can't do that after one model run man.
12z UK 
00z
00z
I will say though the CMC didn’t have an expansive precip shield I did like how it was colder.
No shortage of storms with marginal temps late in the run on the GFS..we’re going to need more help than usual
ajr
Member
Too much pulling on that bit of energy over Iowa, couldn't dig as well it seems.
Gefs still looks good 
Well the HRRR has been consistent in popping some big time storms over the Charlotte area moving south eastward into SC ... what would these storms entail??