cd2play
Member
We're saving up for Fab Feb
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska
- Thread starter KyloG
- Start date
At this point I really don't see much potential in the next 10 days. There isn't any cold air to be had for the sliders next week. Only hope would be a stronger storm but more often than not you lose the favorable track and fight WAA then. Only other option is a cutoff ULL showing up which is not likely.
If we can get some ridging on the west coast going forward into Feb we may can get something going. I'm skeptical of that for obvious reasons but hopefully at the very least we can keep a -PNA from showing back up. There appears to be no help in the form of blocking at all and that is troubling. But enough ridging on the west may can tap some of that very cold air that's bottled up IF it occurs.
If we can get some ridging on the west coast going forward into Feb we may can get something going. I'm skeptical of that for obvious reasons but hopefully at the very least we can keep a -PNA from showing back up. There appears to be no help in the form of blocking at all and that is troubling. But enough ridging on the west may can tap some of that very cold air that's bottled up IF it occurs.
I actually see potential in the pattern. That doesn't mean we will actually be able to get a winter storm though either. The cold air will be the problem, but hell isn't usually that case?
Yeah, honestly in my opinion this upcoming possible pattern (+EPO which almost always keeps away a SE ridge and is actually pumping that west coast ridge along with ridging into Canada ) looks better than what we’ve had most of this winter, (GOA ridge/-PNA/+AO) we almost always work with marginal setups with borderline patterns
Fun Fact:
I just found out our favorite weather pattern, (+PNA, -EPO. Baja low and EC trough) is classified under a pattern called "Rex Block"
@Webberweather53 should do some research on this type of pattern since I've seen many snow events from this setup. December 2018 is in recent memory.
Map Source: https://www.weather.gov/jetstream/basic
Another source: https://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints/178/
I just found out our favorite weather pattern, (+PNA, -EPO. Baja low and EC trough) is classified under a pattern called "Rex Block"
@Webberweather53 should do some research on this type of pattern since I've seen many snow events from this setup. December 2018 is in recent memory.
Map Source: https://www.weather.gov/jetstream/basic
Another source: https://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints/178/
I’ve heard Rex block referred to many times but never thought much about it. Thanks Ollie
0z nam soundings support some snow late weekend.
Could a phase be possible for the late week system next week? If a phase happens, what could we be looking at for the late week system next week? A possible strong Gulf low? Deep cold air advection coming down on the back side of the low?
#LakesLow #ItsARealThing
I love when southern stream waves get stuck for a enternity in Mexico/SW and then once any CAA moves out then it kicks/moves East
Here’s what a lakes low does to your cold air feed..
womp
womp
Ron Burgundy
Member
I really hate the Lakes Low. Just for the record.
Ahh, and here comes the ol’ “hour 200 leave a piece of closed off energy hovering over TX for the remainder of the run.” look from the GFS..next
some people claim they don’t hinder a snowstorm setup, but I beg to differ. As do many others
Ruy Lopez opening, aggressively taking knight.
CMC said what’s up tho, remember it’s better than the gfs, lol 
I like what the CMC has been doing, stronger bombed out low NE of Atlantic Canada which means more CAA, and also it has sped up that one wave that was once in Texas (it’s now all the way into NC) it’s sheared but there’s enough digging for a wave to develop and produce light snow north of 85, CMC has improved 
There’s a catch right now.... no gefs ensemble members show anything like what the cmc showed, sigh
Absolute chaos..it’ll be at least another couple days before we can gauge exactly how cold our rain is going to be
Avalanche
Member
What hour does the Euro go out to?