A majority of EPS members say cold with a good chunk saying hold on to your butts 300hrs till end of the run. We will see.
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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska
- Thread starter KyloG
- Start date
I think some longer range stuff is starting to show some blocking coming onto the table with regards to Greenland ... -NAO finally???
Not that I see, although I didn't look up that way. Big +PNA with some -EPO mixed in.
To add to this, look at the 850 temps, 0c or slightly below reaching past the Gulf coast. Just imagine this low further south which I do think it would trend further south. The 12z GEFS mean does not show this low cutting inland.
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True I was mistaken but boy oh boy if that big +PNA with some -EPO can really get going as is being shown ... I’m guessing we start seeing some big time high pressure systems moving out of the north burying themselves in the US
No, you’re right. GFS tried to get something going up that way at 12z..mirage? Probably
Euro 12z also tried to get something going up there around 240 ... ensembles aren’t seeing it as much so probably a 12z mirage
pcbjr
Member
A lot of interesting, i.e., good, stuff could happen with this sort of temp probability ...
Don’t see that type of prob map too often
EPS agrees with OP anyone have individual members for mid next week system?
pcbjr
Member
Yeah ... and add this to it ... just maybe something could squeeze out this time of year ...
Looking at the GEFS members it looks very active some members show short range storms. And quite a few good members around the 30th
Frustrating. But maybe we can trend better for a change. Late winter/early spring always holds some hope
pcbjr
Member
for flowers in N Florida ...
Its like groundhog day looking at the models in the long range right now. There are a few decent things going on that could at least make you think maybe this attempt to congeal the tpv into the hudson bay area has legitimacy and maybe start to kick enough out of AK we get a little more legit ridging out west. After watching it doo doo out twice so far I can't hold my breath
Does anyone have the ensemble members they can show us?
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
ATLwxfan
Member
GFS was delightful if you’re looking to bank some more rain against the next drought. Mostly seasonable temps. I mean it is what it is. On the bright side, the I-95 corridor gets very little wintery precip so thats always a plus.
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