Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska

[Myfrotho704_]

Euro looks better already with a closed SW digging more into ND/SD

 

[packfan98]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I honestly don't think there's any way to answer this question. My guess is it will do a low amp loop into 5/6/7 and then probably get into 8. No evidence to support that other than it seems to want to do that the last year or two late in the season.

Yeah, watch it head into 8/1/2 into the indian Ocean as we head into April/may, and by that time those phases support torching vs cold

 

[GaWx]

Whoa, Nelly...getting even closer!

 

[baroowoofr]

Euro actually pops a little snow over N. GA early on as the vort drops in:

 

[Rain Cold]

I hope we're still close when we get within 48-60 hours because you know the NAM will have one of those big runs.

 

[ForsythSnow]

Euro actually pops a little snow over N. GA early on as the vort drops in:

It's light but I'll take it. Not too far off from here.

 

[WxWatch]

Euro actually pops a little snow over N. GA early on as the vort drops in:

This feature isn't on the Euro on Pivotal, odd. I do see very small specks of flurries though during that time.

 

[Metwannabe]

It's light but I'll take it. Not too far off from here.

If it cuts off, as it has been trending, and comes in stronger, wouldn't be surprised to see that increase with the ull. I just need it to tilt sooner to pull that slp back NW. Wouldn't it be something if y'all could score from the ull and coastal folks from the slp?

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

 

[Metwannabe]

This feature isn't on the Euro on Pivotal, odd. I do see very small specks of flurries though during that time.

@ForsythSnow literally posted an image from pivotal of that system....

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

 

[Nerman]

Euro actually pops a little snow over N. GA early on as the vort drops in:

Icon has something similar in the area

 

[WxWatch]

@ForsythSnow literally posted an image from pivotal of that system....

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

Yeah, it's on the snowfall output map, but it's not on the surface/MSLP map on Pivotal. Look at it on Pivotal, the surface, it is not there.

 

[Shawn]

It's literally squeezing flurries out of the atmosphere, I'd call it dragon fodder for now, but sure, these upper level cut offs can definitely make it happen.

 

[baroowoofr]

There's moisture and lift:



But I'm guessing since all the moisture is coming from the n. stream, virga would be more likely in the 12z Euro's version of it, at least until it gets closer to the coast

 

[Metwannabe]

Yeah, it's on the snowfall output map, but not the surface/MSLP map on Pivotal. Look at it on Pivotal, the surface, it is not there.

It's because it's an ULL

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

 

[Shawn]

To go with the above post, I'd be willing to bet verbatim, the dendritic growth zone wouldn't have adequate saturation to make flakes with that dry air wrapping in. Could change.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Euro not as hot as 12z yesterday out to 174 throughout Canada but hotter than 00z..gonna be another dumpster fire run either way

 

[ForsythSnow]

To go with the above post, I'd be willing to bet verbatim, the dendritic growth zone wouldn't have adequate saturation to make flakes with that dry air wrapping in. Could change.

Well at least we have soundings from the euro on pivotal now! Here's a spot from west GA around Rome.

Now compare this with the last run same location and time


It's much wetter than my area, which has the DGZ completely unsaturated at the moment, but it's a noticeable trend.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Welp, there’s our south based -NAO..let’s see where it goes from here

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 01]

12z EURO actually isn't that warm next week. Could definitely change. Mid 30's for the Piedmont of NC when the storm comes in. That could change