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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska

CAD signal is there just a tick warm as modeled. Some ice for a very few western NC.
 
Not a lot left to saturate on this sounding
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Yeah not much to work with, though sometimes it doesn't take a lot.....I have seen similar setups that pay off especially down here if there can be any kind of surface low formation offshore.....need it to dig a bit more and go negative or at least full neutral....
 
Would think the sub 32 is more expansive than just western Wilkes County after all that cold prior. Hope lives on for now Jan. 24th.
 
SE RIDGE FORMING.
 

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I’ve also been watching this and brought it up a day or so ago .. some Gefs members are more amped with the clipper system shooting down and its able to squeeze out some good snow showers (on some ensemble members) this looks like a flizzard but I’ll take it if it’s a precursor to bigger and better thing
 
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Yeah not much to work with, though sometimes it doesn't take a lot.....I have seen similar setups that pay off especially down here if there can be any kind of surface low formation offshore.....need it to dig a bit more and go negative or at least full neutral....
Looks like this wave is still up near the pole and has an interaction with some other waves in about 72 hours. Maybe we can find a way to get it stronger and west

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A little warm up be nice after temps in the low teens and single digits in the mtns. Don’t like it that cold for long periods of time.
 
GFS didn’t give us our 50/50 low this run. Look what it tried to do with that big bombing coastal this run vs 18z..

00z
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18z
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We need that other LP over the Atlantic to trend stronger over the next several days similar to what happy hour was showing
 
Warm ground temps before our snowstorm in late Jan
Probably not it’s only one day and the temps behind the front are way cold enough to bring any type of small ground warm up from continuing ... plus in January we know ground temps are no problem to overcome After 30 minutes of heavy snow
 
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