Severe Jan 8-11 2024 System Severe

[weatherfide]

The GFS has an almost identical setup to this storm on Friday night and Saturday morning. May need another severe thread for that one. Ouch. We've got to get rid of these 975 mb lows forming over the panhandle of TX.

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

3KM NAM 00Z RUN HAS ME AT 90KT AT 850MB



GFS 00Z RUN HAS ME AT 55 KT AT 925MB

 

[Metwannabe]

I know these wind gust maps are always too high but goodness, the gfs showing hurricane force gust imby. Wow!

 

[Metwannabe]

Gonna be a very high impact system

 

[Rain Cold]

I know these wind gust maps are always too high but goodness, the gfs showing hurricane force gust imby. Wow!

Pix

 

[Metwannabe]

Pix

 

[SD]

This event reminds me of the 1/11/14 event that produced the 86mph gust at rdu

 

[NoSnowATL]

NWS still says 50-60 mph gust winds even outside of thunderstorms. 2-4n of rain.

 

[Arcc]

This event reminds me of the 1/11/14 event that produced the 86mph gust at rdu

Hmm, then two weeks later the Snowjam happened. Hmm close to two weeks from now the pattern says cold overrunning possible. Repeat imminent.

 

[SD]

Hmm, then two weeks later the Snowjam happened. Hmm close to two weeks from now the pattern says cold overrunning possible. Repeat imminent.

I wish but 14 had a legit ridge up the WC into the NWT. This year naso much

 

[Shaggy]

I know these wind gust maps are always too high but goodness, the gfs showing hurricane force gust imby. Wow!

12k nam.also has a wind maximum over the coastal plains especially the central northern spots.

The 3k radar depiction is concerning with plenty of cells ahead of the front along I95

 

[packfan98]

Anyone think we are going to see some school closures or early dismissals on Tuesday? Flooding rains and high winds with a high possibility of downed trees and power outages doesn’t seem safe for buses and unnecessary travel.

 

[Arcc]

I wish but 14 had a legit ridge up the WC into the NWT. This year naso much

But…







Of course I’m joking, but I’ve been up since 3am, got the flu and I’m bored so…..

 

[JHS]

12k nam.also has a wind maximum over the coastal plains especially the central northern spots.

The 3k radar depiction is concerning with plenty of cells ahead of the front along I95

I saw a couple of PDS tor soundings on the 12z NAM. It had marginal tor soundings back my way with basically 0 CAPE. If for some reason the sun makes it out somewhere they will have a rough time of it with even more CAPE.

 

[SD]

Damn son

 

[BHS1975]

View attachment 140373

Damn son

NAM being the NAM. The HRRR does way better


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[NCSNOW]

Anyone think we are going to see some school closures or early dismissals on Tuesday? Flooding rains and high winds with a high possibility of downed trees and power outages doesn’t seem safe for buses and unnecessary travel.

Got 3 educators on the family tree , they been asking me when's ever gonna snow? I told em this morning weather may have found another way to get them a day off this Tuesday. They dismiss for Trop storm conditions. This will have more punch for us by far imo.

 

[packfan98]

Got 3 educators on the family tree , they been asking me when's ever gonna snow? I told em this morning weather may have found another way to get them a day off this Tuesday. They dismiss for Trop storm conditions. This will have more punch for us by far imo.

That’s what I was thinking.

 

[Chazwin]

GSP has wind gusts to 47mph right in my point forecast for Tuesday. I honestly don’t think I’ve ever seen them go that high on a point forecast when there’s not a tropical system involved. Some school systems closing on Tuesday due to high wind potential is a very real possibility

 

[Brick Tamland]

Wake County schools would be the last to close if they do close. They have a history of being reluctant to close for anything but snow.