Stormsfury
Member
The modeled wind fields are insane at 850mb, even seeing 70-80kts at that level.
Most of the modeling have those ahead of the expected QLCS (but most also have it's own secondary maxima.. )
All severe modes are possible. Discreet cells out ahead tapping into that momentum and very large, curved clockwise hodographs. KCHS noted some progs up to 500m²/s² for Tuesday!
I expect ENHANCED risk outlooks with potentials for a small window of MODERATE categorical risk somewhere in the Eastern Carolinas Tuesday with this level.
As noted by others, the winds outside of any convection still look in the order of potential max gusts over 50mph, which wind advisories will likely be warranted come Tuesday.
Most of the modeling have those ahead of the expected QLCS (but most also have it's own secondary maxima.. )
All severe modes are possible. Discreet cells out ahead tapping into that momentum and very large, curved clockwise hodographs. KCHS noted some progs up to 500m²/s² for Tuesday!
I expect ENHANCED risk outlooks with potentials for a small window of MODERATE categorical risk somewhere in the Eastern Carolinas Tuesday with this level.
As noted by others, the winds outside of any convection still look in the order of potential max gusts over 50mph, which wind advisories will likely be warranted come Tuesday.