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Wintry Jan 30-Feb 2 2021 ❄️ Potential

Just getting freezing rain now. Temp is at 31.4 so a lot of it is just running off. You really want upper 20s (or lower) to get best accrual. But I still have a glaze building on the porch and trees. Shouldn't last long. RAH say another hour or two and that will be it (for me). Then we can all hope for the backend stuff.
 
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Here’s my 2-4 inches of sleet/snow. Another major bust!! Lgt rain 31.8 can’t see where any of it is freezing. That’s how bad a winter so far can’t even get rain to freeze when it’s below freezing. Lol


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metwannabe said:
Yeah the NAMs are fairly robust with the ULL, curious to see if 12z continues....could be some good rates
Click to expand...
Might be a case where we don't know who will get lucky until go time (..if the NAMs are correct). Might be a few "haves" and many "have nots"...

RAH is not too excited at this time, but at least they mentioned it:

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 400 AM Sunday...

Upper level trough will rotate east through the area on Monday. In
the low-levels, CAA will overspread the area in the wake of the
deepening sfc low that is forecast to move very slowly off the Mid-
Atlantic coast. Atop saturation in the lowest 10kft, DCVA will
result episodic/intermittent lift throughout the day and into the
evening before waning. Given that boundary layer temps will be well
above freezing, in the upper 30s to lower 40s, light rain will be
the main p-type. However, it`s possible that rain could briefly mix
with snow/sleet during any higher precip rates and once the sun goes
does Monday evening. However, with liquid equivalent of only a few
hundredths, the probability of seeing high precip rates is very low.
Precip chances look to wind down AOA midnight, as the upper trough
axis shifts east of the area. At this time, any frozen
accumulations/impacts are expected to be either very
localized/isolated or insignificant.
 
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