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Wintry Jan 27-28 Snow Potential Official Thread

Avalanche said:
You hate to lose the potential of a system like this to surface temps. Really is frustrating.
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Looks like RDU is at 50 as of 5pm. I recall with the Feb Feb 2015 system in Greensboro, we warmed into the 50s during the day under sunshine, but by 9 or 10 pm it was snowing heavily with temperatures near freezing, and we ended up with 6.4”. There is reason to be hopeful, but also concerned. I am usually too optimistic, mind you....

I think 1-3” for us, maybe 2-4” as you get north of Durham. I will be disappointed with less than an inch. Of course, I hold out hope for a 3-6” positive bust......
 
ryan1234 said:
LOL. I am drinking an IPA as well. Love me some Voodoo Ranger IPA. Probably will skip the Tom Collins though. Need to have my wits tomorrow. ? You may actually end up doing okay!
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Love the Voodoo as well. Once I had my first IPA over snow frustration, I never went back to Lagers. Go drive yourself down 421 towards Boone and enjoy the 3-6 they are calling for. All snow, and winds to boot. Should be a pretty sight.
 
Avalanche said:
You hate to lose the potential of a system like this to surface temps. Really is frustrating.
Click to expand...
Well, you gotta lose it to something. Might as well be warm temps! A nice snowy 49 at the casa right now. Expecting that slow drop until the temperature-stabilizing cloud deck rolls in. Then we'll drift slowly through the 40s as the precip falls. Still think we see some flakes though.
 
Avalanche said:
Love the Voodoo as well. Once I had my first IPA over snow frustration, I never went back to Lagers. Go drive yourself down 421 towards Boone and enjoy the 3-6 they are calling for. All snow, and winds to boot. Should be a pretty sight.
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It's my go-to! I've considered doing a snowchase. But it's just not the same as experiencing it in your backyard. Hey, we still have a few good weeks of potential before Spring arrives. Let's hope we can get a board-wide storm before then. ?
 
KyloG said:
HRRR changes looks like noise to me....not my favorite model though.

Past 5 runs

View attachment 68586
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Yeah, definitely dangerous to try to decipher minute trends from a model that runs every hour. There’s always going to be small differences, and it runs 24 times a day...
 
superjames1992 said:
Looks like RDU is at 50 as of 5pm. I recall with the Feb Feb 2015 system in Greensboro, we warmed into the 50s during the day under sunshine, but by 9 or 10 pm it was snowing heavily with temperatures near freezing, and we ended up with 6.4”. There is reason to be hopeful, but also concerned. I am usually too optimistic, mind you....

I think 1-3” for us, maybe 2-4” as you get north of Durham. I will be disappointed with less than an inch. Of course, I hold out hope for a 3-6” positive bust......
Click to expand...

43° here 5miles W of KECG. We were supposed to hit 52° today, but only got to 46°. Hopefully we clear out some to get more cooling.
 
ryan1234 said:
LOL. I am drinking an IPA as well. Love me some Voodoo Ranger IPA. Probably will skip the Tom Collins though. Need to have my wits tomorrow. ? You may actually end up doing okay!
Click to expand...
Voodoo Ranger is pretty good bang for the buck up here and a solid brew. frequent sales too. 43/32 here. Clouds rolled in right at sunset so not great for radiational cooling this evening. Soundings look good, just surface issues here once the rain gets here. Just curious how long changeover takes.
 
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