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Wintry Jan 23-27 Winter Storm Obs

9PM actuals: RDU 21, GSO 17, FAY 27, CLT 25

Model progs for 9PM for these 4 cities:
Icon: 23, 22, 25, 25
Euro: 23, 22, 26, 25
UK: 26, 24, 30, 29
GFS: 28, 26, 30, 29

How far off are models in NC at 9PM?
Icon: +2, +5, -2, 0; avg 1.25 too warm
Euro: +2, +5, -1, 0; avg 1.5 too warm
UK: +5, +7, +3, +4; avg 4.75 too warm
GFS: +7, +9, +3, +4; avg 5.75 too warm
 
Someone was talking the other day. About getting freezing rain temperatures in the teens. They weren't sure that could happen. I'm at 16.5 degrees right now. And got freezing rain and sleet coming down. Now I have seen it before. Years ago, it was 18 degrees, and nothing but freezing rain. Not even one sleet pellet. So it can't happen, I've seen it more than once. Currently 16.5/11 zr/ip
 
That's not snow to the north, it's mostly sleet up my way. And I stepped out a few minutes ago and there was a little freezing rain mixed in. Never experienced freezing rain at 18 degrees.
 
Someone was talking the other day. About getting freezing rain temperatures in the teens. They weren't sure that could happen. I'm at 16.5 degrees right now. And got freezing rain and sleet coming down. Now I have seen it before. Years ago, it was 18 degrees, and nothing but freezing rain. Not even one sleet pellet. So it can't happen, I've seen it more than once. Currently 16.5/11 zr/ip
Haha, I just responded that I was at 18 and getting sleet and a little freezing rain.
 
9PM actuals: RDU 21, GSO 17, FAY 27, CLT 25

Model progs for 9PM for these 4 cities:
Icon: 23, 22, 25, 25
Euro: 23, 22, 26, 25
UK: 26, 24, 30, 29
GFS: 28, 26, 30, 29

How far off are models in NC at 9PM?
Icon: +2, +5, -2, 0; avg 1.25 too warm
Euro:
+2, +5, -1, 0; avg 1.5 too warm
UK:
+5, +7, +3, +4; avg 4.75 too warm
GFS
: +7, +9, +3, +4; avg 5.75 too warm
The short range models have somehow been even worse!
 
That's not snow to the north, it's mostly sleet up my way. And I stepped out a few minutes ago and there was a little freezing rain mixed in. Never experienced freezing rain at 18 degrees.
I got it now at 16.5 lol
 
Patetown NC. 26/11. Not expecting much, normally this feel in the air would make you think something was on the horizon, maybe, maybe not. It's the south so just enjoy the cool air and the uncertainty that comes with being from these parts.
 
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