• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Jan 2025 Powered by Rheem AC

SASQUATCH said:
I'd much rather hit on the front end...maybe sticks around for more than an afternoon.
Click to expand...
Agreed. The good thing is we are approaching the coldest days of the year on average so there is at least a little bit of wiggle room where we don't need the deepest coldest trough over us to snow. Reasonably cold and low dews can pay out through most of January. This gives us the ability to hit on the front of a cold pattern when Canada isn't that cold yet
 
griteater said:
Euro Weekly looks a little better for early into mid-Jan on the early maps
Click to expand...
The other encouraging thing is the op Euro, EPS and the weeklies are all in alignment on the transition period in early January. This all fits in with the MJO and Pacific jet as well. We're in the infant stages of seeing where the chips fall, but at least we have a glimmer of hope starting to emerge come early January.
 
griteater said:
This is what I suspect we will see in the stratosphere - the modeling keeps hinting at it for late Dec into mid-Jan. A Canadian Warming transitioning into a Wave 2 / stretched Strat PV. Could help with cold air transport down into the CONUS

View attachment 156266
Click to expand...
I don't think we could ask for better
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
It's heartening to see that all ensemble guidance continues to advertise a PAC jet retraction and the resulting +PNA right at the first of the year and not can-kicking the pattern change. I'd like to think that by Christmas we should at least start seeing some digital fantasy snows in the extended to keep us entertained.
Click to expand...
Next step is to go from 360 to 240, then below 180 and so on WITHOUT the blast furnace simultaneously showing back up at 360 again.
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
It's heartening to see that all ensemble guidance continues to advertise a PAC jet retraction and the resulting +PNA right at the first of the year and not can-kicking the pattern change. I'd like to think that by Christmas we should at least start seeing some digital fantasy snows in the extended to keep us entertained.
Click to expand...
There are already some ensemble members delivering at the end of their runs.
download.png
 
Rain Cold said:
Next step is to go from 360 to 240, then below 180 and so on WITHOUT the blast furnace simultaneously showing back up at 360 again.
Click to expand...
The REAL test is a significant event holding < 96 hrs out. When was the last time that happened outside of a few flurries snow showers during our last light event? We've lost some heartbreakers over the past few years trying to get something from D6-7 to inside D4. This place will go bananas when that ever happens again.
 
Last edited:
packfan98 said:
There are already some ensemble members delivering at the end of their runs.
View attachment 156281
Click to expand...
This translates to a possible paste job to my north, or a nice event to my south and southwest while my backyard basically get skunked. This is more reality than not. #PAIN It's nice to see some of the members hinting, though.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top