Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs

[Parker]

Everybody always gets nervous before showtime. We are good

 

[Parker]

I am interested to see this system start amping up in the next few hours. It should start up soon. I hope lol. View attachment 101182

Good looking radar to me

 

[Myfrotho704_]

ULL slightly more south this HRRR run so far

 

[SD]

Some West TN reportsView attachment 101180

But MEG reported 79 yesterday how can snow stick in that area?

 

[EmersonGA]

And their soil temperatures weren’t much different than the rest of the southeast.

 

[DadOfJax]

Watching the webcams in Oxford, MS for an idea on changeover. Good cams from Ole Miss…

Quad Live Cam | Ole Miss

livecam.olemiss.edu

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

And their soil temperatures weren’t much different than the rest of the southeast.

And its snowing there in the middle of the day ! So it should be even easier for the snow to stick further east tonight.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

HRRR looks slightly less amped/a tick south

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

But MEG reported 79 yesterday how can snow stick in that area?

Glad we buried that bad science in under 72 hours. I stand by ground temps being the least important thing when forecasting winter weather.

 

[HSVweather]

Watching the webcams in Oxford, MS for an idea on changeover. Good cams from Ole Miss…

Quad Live Cam | Ole Miss

livecam.olemiss.edu

The I40 west of River has an accident on it here, TDOT cams

Smartway

smartway.tn.gov

 

[MSnowAtl]

ULL slightly more south this HRRR run so far View attachment 101183

Let's see where this goes!!

 

[SD]

Glad we buried that bad science in under 72 hours. I stand by ground temps being the least important thing when forecasting winter weather.

I mean there will obviously be some melting if the ground is warm but there's more to it

 

[olhausen]

Nashville has upped the earlier total of 1 inch to 1-2 inches across much of the state.

 

[Downeastnc]

HRRR looks slightly less amped/a tick south

Those of us in central and eastern NC gotta hope it trends back closer to what we saw yesterday afternoon if we want to see more than some token flakes at the end....less amped and the low tracking ILM to Lookout would be nice to see this run....

 

[Psalm 148:8]

ULL slightly more south this HRRR run so far View attachment 101183

Dig you pig!!??. Someone had to say it! Hoping a south trend helps me get in the game even if just a few flurries… so what does this new hrrr actually mean? Draw in more cold air? Warm air? Precip placement?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Those of us in central and eastern NC gotta hope it trends back closer to what we saw yesterday afternoon if we want to see more than some token flakes at the end....less amped and the low tracking ILM to Lookout would be nice to see this run....

I’m liking where I’m sitting right now with the deformation band .. looks absolutely gorgeous on the HRRR

 

[Arcc]

Dig you pig!!??. Someone had to say it! Hoping a south trend helps me get in the game even if just a few flurries… so what does this new hrrr actually mean? Draw in more cold air? Warm air? Precip placement?

Not much difference for Us in AL, GA.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I mean there will obviously be some melting if the ground is warm but there's more to it

Agreed, however It doesn’t take long to cool the soil to a depth that supports snow/ice sitting on top of it.

 

[Parker]

Latest HRRR. Like ARCC said, not much change. Hope it trends stronger as we get closer m. It did for areas to the NW

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Dig you pig!!??. Someone had to say it! Hoping a south trend helps me get in the game even if just a few flurries… so what does this new hrrr actually mean? Draw in more cold air? Warm air? Precip placement?

Basically what arc said, not much of a change, makes a bigger impact east of the mountains