Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs

[DopplerWx]

ATL ?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I’m waiting for the “Nam looks more amped” comment

 

[WeatherNC]

It’s textbook. Southern Mid-Atlantic, which includes NC per the HPC, really just a clean hook off the VA Capes

 

[SD]

 

[LukeBarrette]

I’m waiting for the “Nam looks more amped” comment

It does, and it’s slower

 

[Ron Burgundy]

man this setup really interests me with that comma head/deformation zone, shows up nicely on the euro, that’s what I’m banking on here and what many should watch, with a strengthening and formidable 1000/999mb mid latitude cyclo

2-3" for the Atlanta metro ? Wow.

I wouldn’t consider Carrollton to be ATL metro. But I do like the trends.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

@Myfrotho704_ those big thunderstorms that develop around wake on the HRRR does it look like possible hailers in those or anything like that? They looked intense low key

 

[SD]

I mean, it's stil showing snow here, so take it as a win.

Yeah hrrr would be fine with me. A decent rain event then daytime snow

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

I wouldn’t consider Carrollton to be ATL metro. But I do like the trends.

Carrollton to Dallas to Canton looks like a possibility.

 

[Stephenb888]

With these Trends I think tomorrow even the upstate will be in the ballgame. The dynamics of this thing is insane

Sent from my SM-A526U using Tapatalk

Told you.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

HRRR even picking up on some lightning in this deformation band … I’ve seen thundersnow twice in my life and there’s nothing like the experience of that heavy snowfall .. I’ll see if I can post a video of the rates I saw with last years

 

[Myfrotho704_]

@Myfrotho704_ those big thunderstorms that develop around wake on the HRRR does it look like possible hailers in those or anything like that? They looked intense low key

Honestly that’s a look that could support a elevated supercell or 2, at least would be some pretty strong elevated thunderstorms with this look with a hail threat, hard to find a uncontaminated sounding tho in that mess

 

[Ron Burgundy]

Carrollton to Dallas to Canton looks like a possibility.

That sounds right because I’m about 10 miles on the wrong side of it.

 

[Weatherlover92]

I wouldn’t consider Carrollton to be ATL metro. But I do like the trends.

2m temps on 00z NAM (12km model) is significantly colder Sunday morning. Around 9am it's 57 here, 18z NAM it was still 66 at the same timeframe. I think this is the first NAM run in sometime where it keeps us in the 50s tomorrow morning into the early afternoon. Whether we see a flake here or not I don't care, I'm beyond ready for winter-like temps to return. The sooner the better so I hope the quicker cooldown post-frontal passage is right.

 

[packfan98]

NAM looking juiced!

 

[Webberweather53]

I’m waiting for the “Nam looks more amped” comment

It is

 

[LukeBarrette]

Honestly that’s a look that could support a elevated supercell or 2, at least would be some pretty strong elevated thunderstorms with this look with a hail threat, hard to find a uncontaminated sounding tho in that messView attachment 100895View attachment 100896View attachment 100897

Could be thunder snow with that band in va

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Nam more cutoff/more amped

 

[Stormlover]

nam buries us

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Way more juiced, I wonder why this model has went away from amplification so much it used to be the model that showed amped problems/warm noses