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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Ray’s final call. Scotty’s reputation is on the line. Praying for him.
iGRXY
Member
Having the HRRR repeatedly showing this along and west of 77 is really nice. This model is really good at sniffing out dynamic cooling and FGEN. Did it with the snow in the upstate last year too. Holding snow for a lot of folks along and north of 85 for 8-9 hours before changing
Snowing here in Hendersonville. And so it begins ?
ATLwxfan
Member
Potentially still snowing there too with some banding. So yeah let’s combine our pile of chips.
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BufordWX
Member
42/33 here right now. Been holding steady for a while now. Gonna be interesting to see when we start dropping.
WXinCanton
Member
Wrap it up and put it under the tree. 45/30 here rn
Snownut
Member
I'm pretty sure if the HRRR is right, that 5-9" line can be moved on down little further into upstate.
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SouthGarnerSleet
Member
Looks like 6-12+ in the mountains on that map.
Lol he should have went to Boone again not Asheville.
Where does Scotty think he should go? ?
NWMSGuy
Member
Always enjoy seeing these type post. Real observations compared to model output. How does this compare to HRRR low location?
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Depends on how you look at it. Surface maps line up with the NAM's MSLP pretty well at the moment.
HRRR is ever so slightly south of NAM by maybe 20-30 miles it seems eyeballing... big thing will be monitoring the track from here both NAM-HRRR have it taking a pretty sharp turn ESE now curious to see how it tracks in comparison
packfan98
Moderator
Latest Blend of Models
HSVweather
Member
Winter Weather Advisory is coming for all of North Alabama except Jackson and DeKalb. They will be upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning. S Tennessee will be in a Winter Storm Warning. Thinking for snow totals below 2” in advisory and at or above 2” in warning areas.
Legitimate light snow falling now.
Absolutely love to see it, 850s have verified colder then the last couple of nam runs at verification and that result has been a better trend in front end snow 
Rare Moderate Risk issued for NC is close enough to the following cities (Mooresville, High Point, Asheboro) to take this serious for long power outages. It could easily extend into west Cary, Greensboro, Winston-Salem too.
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Bluff park is near hoover right? I get my locations mixed up. My temp here in northeast bham is near 51
Can I make a request? When posting obs, can you put in the post your location? I think this would help us all. When looking on my phone I cant see location under your user name. Thanks!
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Sent from my SM-A716U using Tapatalk
Brent
Member
It's just so peaceful
KATL (airport) may have hit their high for today of 47, they just dropped back to 46. Dp has been holding steady around 33 for several hrs now. E winds increasing to 14 mph.
I’m in lake toxaway North Carolina. Chased this one, but yes it is. Got my eyes on next weekend for us ?
Showmeyourtds
Member
I believe he’s camped out in western Carolina for this one
Moderate risk of what? Huh?
Well, crap! That's not what I want to see or hear. I'm hoping
that it will be cold enough for mainly sleet and not freezing rain, at least in my local area north of Greensboro Sent from my SM-A716U using Tapatalk
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Oh okay my bad, I saw his location on his name. And was thinking he was in Alabama lol
-2 850 should do the trick!
Z
Zander98al
Guest
That dew point has dropped a decent bit in central Alabama spc mesoanalysis has mid 30s dew point. Dynamic cooling will make a run for it's money getting near freezing here lol. Correct me if I'm wrong but the temperature can only fall as low as the dew point right?
Snowflowxxl
Member
The HRRR says it’s 49/35 here right now when in reality it’s 45/32 ? Smyrna ga
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Nerman
Member
Wedge coming in
Yes and my experience has been for every degree the surface temp goes down the dew point rises by two degrees approx. to come up with the meeting point(wet bulb). But that’s really a side show for us in central AL. The ULL can bring its own atmosphere so to say thus it’s track is crucial to our snow opportunity tomorrow.
33/15 at KHNZ in Henderson NC (far northern NC)
You can calculate your wetbulb here: https://www.omnicalculator.com/physics/wet-bulb