A few pics before darkness set in..........
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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs
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A few pics before darkness set in..........
Broken024
Member
Am I good down here?
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
FWIW the icon and gfs had that back band coming through every single run for the last several days.
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Checkout how bad the ice maps performed. Just posting 1 but we had over 10 pages of the FRAM ice maps and other models. Yes there was some ice but mostly a light glaze.
6z GFS is futherest east with its inland track through NC, than it has been
Should be
FamouslyHot
Member
Light flurries in Rock Hill. Can’t wait for that band to come through and top off the sleet ??
I guess we gonna rip it one more time in the Springs before the final total. What a storm and endless potential going forward!
Ready.. let’s put a cherry on this sucker
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cyclogent
Member
1" accumulation here (versus 4" of snow fall) = 25% stick rate. hi res models did pretty good job reflecting the differences of snow vs snowdepth, IMO
still about 90 minutes worth of precip to go, and should do better than a 25% stick rate here on out now that it's getting dark
still about 90 minutes worth of precip to go, and should do better than a 25% stick rate here on out now that it's getting dark
All I need from this band is .2” to have my first 1” total since April 2019… Come on baby!!!!
Ron Burgundy
Member
Lmao. The Blob delivered!
Here it comes!Yeah these ice maps are always just so overdone, but I really feel like you could see it yesterday by looking at the soundings. The areas that the short range models were putting down the most ice were areas that forecast soundings were keeping predominantly sleet. I still think these models have difficulty distinguishing between sleet and ZR on their surface output
ForsythSnow
Moderator
1" on the snowboard, definitely not the high amounts the models were projecting but it's better than last winter. The black ice later tonight will likely be all over the place from all the melting.
Broken024
Member
Flurries starting
GaSnowhound
Member
Even though us folks on the eastern/I20 side of Atl live in eternal screw zone, it seems to me that the Euro, NAM, HRRR and GFS all did a solid job of predicting “nothing”….as I type this I realize some may take this as a rant/banter but I’m truly speaking succinctly abt model verification. All of those showed a very sharp cut off w very ltl accumulation and markedly higher totals on N side of Walton Co which based upon Gulf and Monger appeared to verify to a much lesser extent than modeled. Irregardless, it seemed they did better here. Maybe that’s because the bust potential of forecasting 0 is much less than putting accumulations out?. Congrats to everyone who got in on the action today and hopefully Fri pans out. I’m headed for Beech a week from today irregardless so one way or another hopefully will see snow accumulations at some point!!
yooooo
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
I feel like it’s going to be close man. Last short range model I looked at has it dying when it comes! We shall see!
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Sky86
Member
Power still out. Light snow falling again from the backside. Worst winter storm here in quite a few years.