Two things I’m noticing right now
1. It really is looking like to me that CLT metro and north might be able to avoid a major ice accrual. This sleet is holding strong as they column remains below freezing from 925mb down. By the time soundings are supportive of ZR, the dry slot punches in and precip becomes more scattered light or freezing drizzle..
2. Looking at water vapor and radar, it really seems that the ULL is moving further south than modeled and hasn’t cut NE yet. There’s an old saying that “an Upper low is a weatherman’s woe”. They are hard to predict and we’ve seen some do some crazy things compared to forecast over the years.