iGRXY
Member
Yeah it’s going to have to start turning now to make the expected tract. That’s definitely going to change things if it comes in more south as the changeover is going to be delayed even further
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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Stormlover
Member
gfs
I suspect that deepening ULL will basically capture it and pull it north pretty quick but hey crazy things have happened so we shall see
GSP just posted an updated Discussion. It says they are going to “slightly bump up snow/sleet totals south of I-85 based on trends of precip starting earlier and hold off the warm nose longer
drfranklin
Member
- Joined
- Dec 1, 2016
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39.1/29, winds NE 10
Stormlover
Member
North Ala,South Tenn
Down to 38.8 now. Let’s see where things are about to go.
Cool image from the 12k NAM.
2z HrrrRRrRRRr wasn't as good around here as 0z.
2z HrrrRRrRRRr wasn't as good around here as 0z.
iGRXY
Member
FGEN and dynamic cooling looks to win out again.
Was just about to post this. It just tanked a degree here. Down to 39 about 6 miles east of you
KHNZ 26.8/7.5
Sorry if this was already posted:
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 1000 PM EST Saturday: Main changes this update were a slightly
faster onset of PoPs to match current radar trends, and the tweaking
of temps and dewpoints over the next several hours based on current
OBS. This was to account for faster wet-bulbing, allowing the warm
nose to be less of a factor overnight. For some areas near I-85
where precip was expected to quickly transition to freezing rain, a
slower transition is now expected with mixed precip, (snow and
sleet), and as a result snowfall totals, (which include both snow
and sleet outside the mtns), were bumped up slightly along and south
of portions of I-85.
Winter storm still on track for the forecast area, but the trend
continues for more sleet and freezing rain outside of the NC
mountains and Blue Ridge. A little more sleet and freezing rain than
snow now expected across the in the lower French Broad valley and
the mountains west of the French Broad valley, at least early in the
event.
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 1000 PM EST Saturday: Main changes this update were a slightly
faster onset of PoPs to match current radar trends, and the tweaking
of temps and dewpoints over the next several hours based on current
OBS. This was to account for faster wet-bulbing, allowing the warm
nose to be less of a factor overnight. For some areas near I-85
where precip was expected to quickly transition to freezing rain, a
slower transition is now expected with mixed precip, (snow and
sleet), and as a result snowfall totals, (which include both snow
and sleet outside the mtns), were bumped up slightly along and south
of portions of I-85.
Winter storm still on track for the forecast area, but the trend
continues for more sleet and freezing rain outside of the NC
mountains and Blue Ridge. A little more sleet and freezing rain than
snow now expected across the in the lower French Broad valley and
the mountains west of the French Broad valley, at least early in the
event.
Yet 2z hrrrrrrrr was a smidge better here. That model is good but it also tends to vary wildly at times, I guess that what happens when it runs every hour
You know whenever I see backside snow going down that far into GA, I always feel good about it swinging thru at least the western half of NC
Sctvman
Member
Gradient…
33/29 Hendersonville
ATLwxfan
Member
Still 41 on Kimball Bridge near Northpoint. We drove to visit some friends in town and it was 43 there. Not as impressive drop as I was expecting. I guess we shall see.
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Snowflowxxl
Member
39/35 - moderate rain