Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

[Ron Burgundy]

Snowline is literally right on my house at this time with 45+ dbz returns. Please please plase be cold enough for some flakes.

Same. And check out the blob over Hartsfield-Jackson! ?

 

[bigstick10]

The winds in ATL are going to be insane, they are telling people to sleep in the basement????

 

[Arcc]

21Z RAP. Overdone no doubt but trending up

I’d poop a brick if I got two inches out of this.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[jackendrickwx]

Sup

 

[Zander98al]

Again the HRRR is really dumping buckets of snow over central Alabama tommorow morning. Would not be shocked for a winter storm warning for portions of central Alabama. These trends are ridiculous. With these snow rates even if it's a degree or two above freezing. It's going to stick.

 

[iGRXY]

Another thing to remember is models spit out precip types based soundings. A lot of those soundings that are sleet are so close to snow soundings that it will be snow under heavy returns and this stuff is going to be dumping especially with FGEN forcing.

 

[DopplerWx]

View attachment 106223View attachment 106224

These trends man….wonder if the hrrr is on to something. Usually we see these trend tbe opposite direction as we get closer.

 

[ryan1234]

Does anyone have wind maps for NC and SC? I'd imagine they are going to be pretty strong here as well. Kinda surprised there are no advisories up.

 

[ALHammerWx]

Thought I would share for us Alabama crew.

 

[Snownut]

Another thing to remember is models spit out precip types based soundings. A lot of those soundings that are sleet are so close to snow soundings that it will be snow under heavy returns and this stuff is going to be dumping especially with FGEN forcing.

And that's why I can't understand why locals are downplaying totals. Some has went down from 4-8" to 1-3" I'm confused at what they are thinking

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[Myfrotho704_]

Bruh the trends won’t stop, it’s still trending colder at verification, this might imply sleet lasting longer I-85 and Nw longer, and that front end snow band over performing

 

[jay.p]

The radar is showing moderate snow in the obx right now around the kitty hawk area


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[Chazwin]

Does anyone have wind maps for NC and SC? I'd imagine they are going to be pretty strong here as well. Kinda surprised there are no advisories up.

Usually GSP will include wind headlines in there WSW and not do a separate advisory for wind

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Riding the RGEM to the grave. HRRRR looks very good as well. Transfer is going to be a killer no doubt but when isn’t it.

 

[FortMillSCWx]

Radar not indicating these fatties in Waynesville, NC

link: Fatties Falling

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Got my pizza and beer, let’s roll. Sitting at 42/31

 

[Parker]

Riding the RGEM to the grave. HRRRR looks very good as well. Transfer is going to be a killer no doubt but when isn’t it. View attachment 106235

Jimmy, we are getting hammered. I just cooked a big pot of spaghetti and am about to throw some French bread in the oven. Just popped a Pilsner and I’ll be sipping fine bourbon when little man goes to bed.

I’m shooting hard for double digits. Also extremely intrigued by what the models are showing back home. This system has some tricks up it’s sleeve

 

[bingcrosbyb]

Again the HRRR is really dumping buckets of snow over central Alabama tommorow morning. Would not be shocked for a winter storm warning for portions of central Alabama. These trends are ridiculous. With these snow rates even if it's a degree or two above freezing. It's going to stick.View attachment 106228View attachment 106229

Still seeing P-type issues in areas without the heavy precipitation. Just a Mess since we don’t have a cold airmass in place (*cough cough next week*). Model is trying to resolve cooling, but is struggling. Could easily be all rain In areas shown in blue south of I-20.

 

[jackendrickwx]

Henderson the first to drop below 10F on DPs. All the way to 30/9