Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

[DadOfJax]

Because this morning the bottom 10% is now the current forecast. So it would make sense to post the updated one in case things trend even icier. I won’t continue this discussion since I made my point and was already told to drop it. I just figured readers wanted to know the major changes from GSP.

You were told to stop posting the crap and to listen more….yet you continue to try to annoy people…enjoy the vacation if you get one.

 

[ATLwxfan]

Wayyyyyyyyy overdone. Did this with the last event. Corrects itself pretty much at the time of verification. Memphis with 14+…..lol!!!

Don’t the reports out of Arkansas give you pause? I mean likely overdone but not as crazy as what I would have thought earlier today.


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[Windergawx]

see some 30's creeping into ga

 

[iGRXY]

Old weather board saying is "to delay is not the way".....so faster is good!

Was going to say the same thing on that message too. Faster precip into a colder than expected column is probably going to crank out some extra hours of snow for a lot of folks.

 

[weatherfide]

45/37, stiff east wind here.

 

[DadOfJax]

Don’t the reports out of Arkansas give you pause? I mean likely overdone but not as crazy as what I would have thought earlier today.


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Not at all. Nothing big coming out of AR…snow like they thought.

 

[Zander98al]

Already around 42 degrees here in the valley in northeast Birmingham at my parents house. Cold cold rain.

 

[EmersonGA]

44/36 and slowly dropping. That east wind is cold.

 

[DustinWx]

You were told to stop posting the crap and to listen more….yet you continue to try to annoy people…enjoy the vacation if you get one.

He got one. Back to regular scheduled programming

 

[BufordWX]

Those winds gonna be whipping.

 

[J.C.]

Celebrating the dawgs in Athens, but headed home.

Currently 42.8/33.6

 

[MotoWeatherman]

39.4 / 29.9 here in Dahlonega. I think the backend will end up over performing. Awaiting the arrival of the front end thump.

 

[FortMillSCWx]

Interesting diatribe with Allen Huffman and Webber on Twitter. Discussing the short range models under estimating the CAD temps. Both look to update later based off the latest cooler trends. #CadWins

 

[bingcrosbyb]

Those winds gonna be whipping.View attachment 106199

It’s going to be interesting watching the video out of NE GA with this event and blowing snow.

 

[Lee County AL]

When does the HRRR run again ?

 

[accu35]

Those winds gonna be whipping.View attachment 106199

Do you have a wind map for southern Alabama? Thank you!

 

[BullCityWx]

HRRR was 3 degrees colder here at the end of its run than it was at the same time at 18z. ?

 

[Snowflowxxl]

When does the HRRR run again ?

It runs at the top of every hour.

 

[WxJoe]

Correct me if I’m wrong, but in the February 2014 storm, didn’t Birmingham get plastered by the ULL and models weren’t showing it until just a few hours before the event? I seem to remember tracking over on the other board and reading something about 2-4”/hr rates during that.

Correct. The RAP was actually the only model to nail this (snowmageddon, 2014), which is why I love the short-range RAP. Unfortunately, nobody (professional Met, semi-pro Met nor wannabe Met) took the RAP seriously back in those days. The rest is weather history.

 

[BullCityWx]

When does the HRRR run again ?

Every hour out to 18 hours, every six hours out to 48 hours.