Parker
Member
NWS dropped me from 12-20 to 9-17, ?
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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
It keeps creeping southwest with each run.
ALHammerWx
Member
- Joined
- Jan 4, 2017
- Messages
- 53
- Reaction score
- 94
Post from about 20 minutes ago for those in AL
Stormlover
Member
Average of several model runs is almost 5 in for hsv 
How does the HRRR usually handle wedging? I seem to recall it being too warm in the past, but that may be outdated at this point. It seems to be on the cooler side of guidance now.
Looks like in general the models are picking up on CAD being more robust than previously modeled, which shouldn’t really be shocking and is something we see a lot with legit CAD (not that borderline crap in-situ stuff).
Looks like in general the models are picking up on CAD being more robust than previously modeled, which shouldn’t really be shocking and is something we see a lot with legit CAD (not that borderline crap in-situ stuff).
Current dews, wind, mslp, fronts
Current temps
And for the few in central NC that still have hope for a little snow here is the HRRR for tomorrow morning
Current temps
And for the few in central NC that still have hope for a little snow here is the HRRR for tomorrow morning
Stormlover
Member
hrrr
@MotoWeatherman looks like may have capped out today at 42.4, seems like that’s in line with CAD being able to do it’s thing for the front thump.
Snowflowxxl
Member
griteater
Member
Final Forecast Call
Drscottsmith
Member
5:00 Report
Duncan, SC
Temp-42.8
Humidity - 52%
DP - 26.4
Duncan, SC
Temp-42.8
Humidity - 52%
DP - 26.4
Snowflowxxl
Member
Boom!
DadOfJax
Member
Well that’s not where you’re supposed to be…..
iGRXY
Member
3K NAM running about 5-8 degrees too high on the DP around this way. Suppose to be in the mid 30's and it's in the mid 20's
Earlier I posted the 10% chance of very low snow and now the new update went beyond that and almost wiped the board clean for the most likely forecast. ? Rug Pull. 
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iGRXY
Member
HRRR bringing in the precip faster and faster and the snow line is going further South and west.
WEATHERBOYROY
Member
I've been puzzled at the rain snow hodgepodge under the northern half of the 500mb storm. I believe the temperatures are verifying colder by several degrees at the surface. I also believe the models are giving too much heat value to the warm gulf moisture and not enough cold value to the cold core LP aloft. I will be surprised if most of the precip that falls across the northern half of Alabama and Mississippi tomorrow.
