Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

[raine1212]

MBY
Temp down to 49
Dew point 34
Wind chill 45 winds 7 mph
Overcast and a lot more clouds coming in
It feels really colder then this

 

[ATLwxfan]

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[Somosdel]

South CLT:

42.3F currently. Still wind out of the SE. Dew sitting at 28F. Cloudy. We had some sun around 9am but quickly had cloud deck roll In.

 

[njbarrineau]

Flizzard at Caesar’s Head!


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[HSVweather]

At 17Z tomorrow from the 18Z HRRR over northwest Madison county AL. I sure hope it can pull down some colder air. Come on rates!

 

[Nerman]

Georgia Dew Point Map - Air Sports Net

Georgia Dew Point Map. Current Dew Point map for Georgia. Weather map with the current Dew Point for Georgia.

www.usairnet.com

Dew Pts in GA
Gainesville 28
Peachtree-Dekalb 32
Hartsfield 34

 

[Brent]

 

[malak05]

Water Vapor Satellite Loop for United States | Tropical Tidbits

United States Water Vapor Satellite Loop

www.tropicaltidbits.com

Is it me or does this just seem already further west and south of most models?

 

[weatherfide]

It appears we going to level off around 48 here. Drove through Fayetteville and recorded 49 there. Now down to 47 at the house. Still not very windy.

 

[ForsythSnow]

So if I can tell this right, for my area and those around me, it will be all snow at the start aside from maybe a short drizzle as the rates pick up. Goes to sleet or zr right as the dry slot moves in. As the precip moves back in, we'll go to Sleet then areas outside of the deeper wedge will go to ZR. As the low passes through ATL or south of it, we'll see a rapid changeover to snow with a band that will see some high rates. Where that sets up is unclear but for those who want to see accumulating snow outside the CAD area, that's your best bet. As soon as that low transfers however it'll dry up fast and the storm will be over.

 

[tractor girl]

Still holding around 44° in Athens GA with dew point of 32

 

[TheBatman]

View attachment 106057

@Brent Was this a over performer for you guys out there?

 

[Snowflowxxl]

I’ll cash out now. Where’s the cashier?

 

[SouthGarnerSleet]

he is also going for around 3” to 6 for most of the mountains and foothills with high elevation! Ice ice View attachment 106040

his call map for the mtns is 6-12+

 

[Brent]

@Brent Was this a over performer for you guys out there?

Not yet. We were originally forecast to be closer to an inch or two. Not sure were gonna get there it got a very slow start earlier

It's not over yet but after dark the precip shuts off

 

[Zander98al]

View attachment 106062

I’ll cash out now. Where’s the cashier?

 

[Weatherlover92]

Water Vapor Satellite Loop for United States | Tropical Tidbits

United States Water Vapor Satellite Loop

www.tropicaltidbits.com

Is it mean or does this just seem already further west and south of most models?

Looking back at the 12z NAM/WRF/RGEM models (h5 maps) it is slightly more SW into TX than those models have it. (19z this afternoon)

 

[Nerman]

So if I can tell this right, for my area and those around me, it will be all snow at the start aside from maybe a short drizzle as the rates pick up. Goes to sleet or zr right as the dry slot moves in. As the precip moves back in, we'll go to Sleet then areas outside of the deeper wedge will go to ZR. As the low passes through ATL or south of it, we'll see a rapid changeover to snow with a band that will see some high rates. Where that sets up is unclear but for those who want to see accumulating snow outside the CAD area, that's your best bet. As soon as that low transfers however it'll dry up fast and the storm will be over.

I hate to think about the 'jump' when the transfer happens. It's gotten me several times where I've had snow to my West and East with barely anything here because it takes place right as the changeover begins. That's why I'm hugging the HRRR. If the NAM plays out I expect that transfer to effect North & mainly East of Atlanta where the West side may actually luck out. Models aren't really showing it but that's my experience. I do not want to have to count on back-end snow.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Interesting, probably lots of graupel in this type of setup with the front end thump

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

View attachment 106062

I’ll cash out now. Where’s the cashier?

Creeping south&west again. It's going to be a sleepless night.
45.5 240pm. That should about do it for the high.